Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Zwolle v Go Ahead Eagles

2026-10-18 10:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prediction 34.03%2.94fair odd
EV +3.78%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.95%33.65%33.97%35.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.753.0540.00%35.81%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 42.12%2.37fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.68%42.44%42.05%44.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.122.3450.00%46.69%47.17%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.85%4.19fair odd
EV +0.173%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.054%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%23.91%23.98%25.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.814.2027.78%25.95%26.25%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Zwolle (Local): 34.03%; Go Ahead Eagles (Visit): 42.12%; Draw: 23.85%. For FC Zwolle (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.05, producing a positive expected value of +3.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.53%EV -10.70%E -5.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:10
Betsson🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.95%EV +2.76%E +0.913%K +1.36%G +0.038%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.51%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.53%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV +2.08%E +0.692%K +1.04%G +0.022%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.375%E +0.127%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -12.38%E -5.95%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:05
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.375%E +0.127%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -12.38%E -5.95%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:05
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.375%E +0.127%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -12.38%E -5.95%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:05
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.33%E -0.457%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -12.80%E -6.19%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 15:05
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -2.01%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.39%EV -14.07%E -6.90%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.39%EV -14.07%E -6.90%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.39%EV -14.07%E -6.90%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.50%EV -14.91%E -7.38%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 15:05
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.14%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.00%EV -1.43%E -0.611%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -7.94%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%EV -6.43%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV +0.173%E +0.041%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.43%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.43%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:01
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.29%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.53%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 13:59
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -10.85%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -11.53%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -11.53%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -15.75%E -7.88%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -13.23%E -5.19%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.69%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.94%E -5.97%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.32%EV -14.94%E -5.97%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.85%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 33.81%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%16.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Arbitrage (22 combinations) +0.67%NordicBet 3.05 (33.0%) / 1xBet 2.34 (43.0%) / Coolbet 4.20 (24.0%)Show all 22 combinations
FC Zwolle (Local)Go Ahead Eagles (Visit)DrawMargin
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
Betsson🎯 3.02 (33.2%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.9%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (23.9%)+0.344%
Grosvenor🎯 3.00 (33.4%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.122%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%