Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Zwolle v Go Ahead Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 10:15 UTC

Final: FC Zwolle 4–1 Go Ahead Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prediction 25.85%3.87fair odd
EV +5.99%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.116%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%25.73%25.83%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.604.1029.41%27.57%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 49.95%2.00fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.18%50.08%49.97%51.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.861.851.9458.14%53.85%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.20%4.13fair odd
EV -0.543%
Edge -0.132%
Kelly -0.174%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.32%24.19%24.20%25.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.803.804.1128.17%26.30%26.32%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zwolle (Local): 25.85%; Go Ahead Eagles (Visit): 49.95%; Draw: 24.20%. For FC Zwolle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +5.99%E +1.46%K +1.93%G +0.116%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.90%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.68%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV +0.821%E +0.210%K +0.283%G +0.002%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.29%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-18 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV +0.821%E +0.210%K +0.283%G +0.002%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.29%EV -3.10%E -1.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-18 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV +0.821%E +0.210%K +0.283%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.42%EV -3.60%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-18 10:09
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV +0.821%E +0.210%K +0.283%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -8.59%E -4.70%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 10:08
betano_uk🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV +0.821%E +0.210%K +0.283%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -8.59%E -4.70%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 10:09
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -1.76%E -0.464%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.59%E -3.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -1.76%E -0.464%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 10:09
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -1.76%E -0.464%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.76%E -0.464%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -10.09%E -5.61%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 09:49
Pinnacle🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 26.02%EV -3.83%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%EV -4.10%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.55%EV -0.543%E -0.132%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 10:00
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.54%EV -6.59%E -3.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 09:55
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 10:09
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 10:09
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 10:10
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -8.59%E -4.70%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 09:55
Betsson🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -6.59%E -3.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.44%EV -7.32%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 10:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.04%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.39%EV -3.60%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -6.11%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 09:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.04%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.39%EV -3.60%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -6.11%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 09:30
BetUS🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.04%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.39%EV -3.60%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -6.11%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 09:30
BetAnything🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.04%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.39%EV -3.60%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.57%EV -6.11%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 09:29
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -6.59%E -3.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.68%EV -6.42%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.72%EV -6.59%E -3.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.60%EV -8.53%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 10:09
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 10:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 09:34
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 09:34
picklebet_au🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.10%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 09:34
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.60%E -2.41%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 09:35
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 10:09
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.59%E -3.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 10:05
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -8.59%E -4.70%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 10:04
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 09:59
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 10:09
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.59%E -4.70%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.28%EV -8.09%E -4.40%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.28%EV -8.09%E -4.40%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 10:09
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -8.59%E -4.70%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 10:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.59%E -3.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 10:09
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.09%E -4.40%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.83%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.09%E -4.40%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 09:34
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 10:09
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 10:09
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.59%E -4.70%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 10:09
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.09%E -5.61%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 10:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.09%E -5.61%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -9.09%E -5.00%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -14.09%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -9.09%E -5.00%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -14.09%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 25.73%EV -10.30%E -2.97%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.45%EV -11.59%E -6.55%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 09:48
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -9.09%E -5.00%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 09:34
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.46%EV -10.09%E -5.61%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-18 09:59
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.09%E -5.61%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 09:54
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -12.59%E -7.19%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.74%EV -14.09%E -8.19%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.59%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-18 09:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.96%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-10-18 10:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-10-18 10:09
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%1.0%2026-10-18 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-10-18 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-10-18 10:04
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-10-18 10:10