Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zwolle v Go Ahead Eagles

2026-10-18 10:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Resultado del partido

34 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zwolle (Local)

Predicción 34.03%2.94momio equitativo
EV +3.78%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.070%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.95%33.65%33.97%35.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.753.0540.00%35.92%36.36%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante)

Predicción 42.12%2.37momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.68%42.44%42.05%44.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.112.3450.00%46.72%47.39%42.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.85%4.19momio equitativo
EV +0.173%
Ventaja +0.041%
Kelly +0.054%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.76%23.91%23.98%25.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.853.804.2027.78%26.00%26.28%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: FC Zwolle (Local): 34.03%; Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante): 42.12%; Empate: 23.85%. Para FC Zwolle (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.94. 9 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.05, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.78%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.53%EV -10.70%E -5.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:10
Betsson🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.95%EV +2.76%E +0.913%K +1.36%G +0.038%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.51%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.53%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV +2.08%E +0.692%K +1.04%G +0.022%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.375%E +0.127%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -12.38%E -5.95%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:05
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.375%E +0.127%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -12.38%E -5.95%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:05
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.375%E +0.127%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -12.38%E -5.95%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:05
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.33%E -0.457%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -12.80%E -6.19%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 15:05
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -2.01%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.39%EV -14.07%E -6.90%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.39%EV -14.07%E -6.90%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.39%EV -14.07%E -6.90%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.50%EV -14.91%E -7.38%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 15:05
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.14%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.00%EV -1.43%E -0.611%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -7.94%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%EV -6.43%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV +0.173%E +0.041%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.43%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.43%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:01
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.29%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.53%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 13:59
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -10.85%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -11.53%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -11.53%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -15.75%E -7.88%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -13.23%E -5.19%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.69%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.94%E -5.97%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.66%EV -14.94%E -5.97%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.27%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.32%EV -14.94%E -5.97%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.85%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 33.81%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%16.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Arbitraje (22 combinaciones) +0.67%NordicBet 3.05 (33.0%) / 1xBet 2.34 (43.0%) / Coolbet 4.20 (24.0%)Ver las 22 combinaciones
FC Zwolle (Local)Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante)EmpateMargen
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
Betsson🎯 3.02 (33.2%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.9%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (23.9%)+0.344%
Grosvenor🎯 3.00 (33.4%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.122%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%