Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Zwolle v Go Ahead Eagles

2026-10-18 10:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prévision 34.03%2.94cote équitable
EV +3.78%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.95%33.65%33.97%35.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.753.0540.00%35.92%36.36%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.12%2.37cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.611%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.68%42.44%42.05%44.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.112.3450.00%46.72%47.39%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.85%4.19cote équitable
EV +0.173%
Avantage +0.041%
Kelly +0.054%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.76%23.91%23.98%25.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.853.804.2027.78%26.00%26.28%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : FC Zwolle (Local) : 34.03% ; Go Ahead Eagles (Visiteur) : 42.12% ; Match nul : 23.85%. Pour FC Zwolle (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.94. 9 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.05, pour une espérance positive de +3.78%.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV +3.78%E +1.24%K +1.84%G +0.070%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.53%EV -10.70%E -5.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:10
Betsson🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.95%EV +2.76%E +0.913%K +1.36%G +0.038%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.51%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.53%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:10
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV +2.08%E +0.692%K +1.04%G +0.022%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.375%E +0.127%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -12.38%E -5.95%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:05
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.375%E +0.127%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -12.38%E -5.95%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:05
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV +0.375%E +0.127%K +0.193%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -12.38%E -5.95%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:05
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.33%E -0.457%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.55%EV -12.80%E -6.19%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 15:05
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -2.01%E -0.697%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.39%EV -14.07%E -6.90%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.39%EV -14.07%E -6.90%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.39%EV -14.07%E -6.90%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.50%EV -14.91%E -7.38%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 15:05
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.14%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.00%EV -1.43%E -0.611%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -7.94%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%EV -6.43%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV +0.173%E +0.041%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.43%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.43%E -2.34%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:01
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.13%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.29%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.53%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 13:59
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.83%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -10.85%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -11.53%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -11.53%E -4.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -15.75%E -7.88%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -13.23%E -5.19%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.69%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.94%E -5.97%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.66%EV -14.94%E -5.97%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.27%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.32%EV -14.94%E -5.97%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.85%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 33.81%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%16.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Arbitrage (22 combinaisons) +0.67%NordicBet 3.05 (33.0%) / 1xBet 2.34 (43.0%) / Coolbet 4.20 (24.0%)Afficher les 22 combinaisons
FC Zwolle (Local)Go Ahead Eagles (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (33.0%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.0%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (24.0%)+0.673%
Betsson🎯 3.02 (33.2%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.9%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (23.9%)+0.344%
Grosvenor🎯 3.00 (33.4%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Coolbet🎯 4.20 (23.8%)+0.122%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%
NordicBet🎯 3.05 (32.8%)1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)Betr (AU)🎯 4.10 (24.4%)+0.088%