Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 7.50
assuming max odds 1.43
assuming max odds 5.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zwolle (Local): 13.76%; Feyenoord (Visit): 67.62%; Draw: 18.62%. For FC Zwolle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.27. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.23%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.23%E +0.431%K +0.497%G +0.016% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.23%E +0.431%K +0.497%G +0.016% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 14:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +0.479%E +0.066%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +0.479%E +0.066%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -0.210%E -0.029%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -0.210%E -0.029%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 14:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.34%EV -0.760%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.75%EV -3.98%E -2.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.90%EV -5.25%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 14:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.60%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.60%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.60%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -4.66%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 14:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 14:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 14:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.91%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 14:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.57%EV -9.02%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.36%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.07%EV -0.779%E -0.146%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -9.16%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 14:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.23%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.91%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -11.42%E -8.72%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.91%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -11.42%E -8.72%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.51%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 14:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -19.39%E -4.48%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.45%EV -14.66%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.88%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.36%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.29%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.68%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 14:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 14:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 14:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.04% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 14:36 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47% | 2.9% | 2026-09-13 14:16 |