Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zwolle v Feyenoord

Início: 2026-09-13 14:45 UTC

Final: FC Zwolle 0–7 Feyenoord

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zwolle (Local)

Previsão 13.76%7.27odd justa
EV +3.23%
Vantagem +0.431%
Kelly +0.497%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.59%13.85%13.63%15.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.006.716.707.5016.67%14.91%14.93%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Feyenoord (Visitante)

Previsão 67.62%1.48odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -7.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.03%67.54%67.70%69.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.311.381.381.4376.34%72.29%72.46%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 18.62%5.37odd justa
EV -0.779%
Vantagem -0.146%
Kelly -0.180%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.49%18.62%18.66%20.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.945.005.3323.09%20.26%20.00%18.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Zwolle (Local): 13.76%; Feyenoord (Visitante): 67.62%; Empate: 18.62%. Para FC Zwolle (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.27. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.23%E +0.431%K +0.497%G +0.016%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:39
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.23%E +0.431%K +0.497%G +0.016%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:39
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +0.479%E +0.066%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:40
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +0.479%E +0.066%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -0.210%E -0.029%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:20
Coolbet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -0.210%E -0.029%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:21
Pinnacle🎯7.21I 13.87%NM 13.34%EV -0.760%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.75%EV -3.98%E -2.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.90%EV -5.25%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 14:31
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.60%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:41
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.60%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.60%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:10
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:10
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -4.66%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 14:11
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:35
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:50
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:41
Tipico (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 14:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 14:20
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 14:40
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:01
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:11
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:10
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:21
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
BetUS🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
BetAnything🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:41
Marathon Bet🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.91%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 14:39
1xBet🎯6.61I 15.13%NM 14.57%EV -9.02%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.36%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.07%EV -0.779%E -0.146%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -9.16%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:25
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:41
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 14:40
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.23%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 14:41
Unibet (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.91%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -11.42%E -8.72%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.91%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -11.42%E -8.72%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 14:35
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.51%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 14:11
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:41
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 14:10
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -19.39%E -4.48%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 14:41
NetBet (FR)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.45%EV -14.66%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.88%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 14:41
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.36%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.29%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.68%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 14:41
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-09-13 14:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-09-13 14:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-09-13 14:41
Matchbook◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-09-13 14:36
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%1.4%2026-09-13 14:36
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%2.9%2026-09-13 14:16