Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zwolle v Feyenoord

Inicio: 2026-09-13 14:45 UTC

Final: FC Zwolle 0–7 Feyenoord

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zwolle (Local)

Predicción 13.76%7.27momio equitativo
EV +3.23%
Ventaja +0.431%
Kelly +0.497%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.59%13.85%13.63%15.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.006.716.707.5016.67%14.91%14.93%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Feyenoord (Visitante)

Predicción 67.62%1.48momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -7.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.03%67.54%67.70%69.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.311.381.381.4376.34%72.29%72.46%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 18.62%5.37momio equitativo
EV -0.779%
Ventaja -0.146%
Kelly -0.180%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.49%18.62%18.66%20.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.334.945.005.3323.09%20.26%20.00%18.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Zwolle (Local): 13.76%; Feyenoord (Visitante): 67.62%; Empate: 18.62%. Para FC Zwolle (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.27. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.23%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.23%E +0.431%K +0.497%G +0.016%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:39
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.23%E +0.431%K +0.497%G +0.016%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:39
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +0.479%E +0.066%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:40
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +0.479%E +0.066%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -0.210%E -0.029%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:20
Coolbet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -0.210%E -0.029%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:21
Pinnacle🎯7.21I 13.87%NM 13.34%EV -0.760%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.75%EV -3.98%E -2.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.90%EV -5.25%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 14:31
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.60%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:41
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.60%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.60%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:10
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:10
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -4.66%E -3.30%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 14:11
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:35
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.27%E -0.432%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:50
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:41
Tipico (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 14:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 14:20
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.36%E -5.37%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 14:40
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.65%E -0.522%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.07%E -7.57%K -30.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:01
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:11
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:10
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 14:21
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.09%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
BetUS🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:40
BetAnything🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.23%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.69%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:41
Marathon Bet🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.91%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -6.01%E -4.32%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 14:39
1xBet🎯6.61I 15.13%NM 14.57%EV -9.02%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.36%EV -3.30%E -2.31%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.07%EV -0.779%E -0.146%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -9.16%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 14:25
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:41
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 14:40
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.23%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 14:41
Unibet (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.91%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -11.42%E -8.72%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -11.91%E -1.86%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -11.42%E -8.72%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 14:35
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.51%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 14:11
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:41
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 14:10
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -19.39%E -4.48%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 14:41
NetBet (FR)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.45%EV -14.66%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.88%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -10.65%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 14:41
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.33%E -3.81%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.36%EV -8.71%E -6.45%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.762%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.29%EV -9.39%E -7.01%K -27.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.68%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 14:41
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.04%E -5.91%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -11.58%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-09-13 14:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-09-13 14:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-09-13 14:41
Matchbook◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-09-13 14:36
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.04%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%1.4%2026-09-13 14:36
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%2.9%2026-09-13 14:16