La scuola delle quote

FC Zwolle v Excelsior

Inizio: 2026-04-12 12:30 UTC

Finale: FC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Zwolle (Casa)

Previsione 42.78%2.34quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.57%42.77%42.71%46.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.162.202.2854.64%46.34%45.45%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Excelsior (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.15%3.21quota equa
EV -0.317%
Vantaggio -0.099%
Kelly -0.144%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.41%31.15%31.20%32.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.29%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.07%3.84quota equa
EV -0.926%
Vantaggio -0.244%
Kelly -0.331%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.88%26.07%26.10%28.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.573.603.8033.33%28.04%27.78%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.65%EV -2.90%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.83%EV -2.19%E -0.696%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.23%E -0.595%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 07:25
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.77%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.91%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.79%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%EV -0.317%E -0.099%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%EV -0.926%E -0.244%K -0.331%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 09:09
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -0.317%E -0.099%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.23%E -0.595%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 12:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -0.317%E -0.099%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.23%E -0.595%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 10:56
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 05:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 02:54
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 02:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 12:00
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:29
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:30
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 07:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 07:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 12:01
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 07:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:01
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.58%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -5.92%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:19
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -7.60%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:00
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -8.46%E -3.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:01
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 09:10
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 09:10
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.65%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.50%EV -5.36%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 02:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 05:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 05:28
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 02:54
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.22%E -3.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 02:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.78%E -4.56%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 10:19
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -11.02%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -11.02%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:01
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -11.02%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.45%E -5.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -11.22%E -3.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.66%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -12.31%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 05:23
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.31%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.29%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 05:24
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.31%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.33%E -5.21%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.45%E -7.22%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -10.29%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -21.78%E -7.26%K -10.89%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-12 05:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -21.72%E -11.87%K -26.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -15.27%E -4.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-04-12 10:20