مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Zwolle v Excelsior

البداية: 2026-04-12 12:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Zwolle (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.78%2.34السعر العادل
EV -2.47%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -1.93%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.57%42.77%42.71%46.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.832.162.202.2854.64%46.34%45.45%43.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Excelsior (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.15%3.21السعر العادل
EV -0.317%
الأفضلية -0.099%
Kelly -0.144%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.41%31.15%31.20%32.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.29%33.33%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.07%3.84السعر العادل
EV -0.926%
الأفضلية -0.244%
Kelly -0.331%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.88%26.07%26.10%28.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.573.603.8033.33%28.04%27.78%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.65%EV -2.90%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.83%EV -2.19%E -0.696%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.23%E -0.595%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 07:25
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.77%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.91%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.79%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%EV -0.317%E -0.099%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%EV -0.926%E -0.244%K -0.331%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 09:09
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -0.317%E -0.099%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.23%E -0.595%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 12:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -0.317%E -0.099%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.23%E -0.595%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 10:56
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 05:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 02:54
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 02:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 12:00
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:29
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:30
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 07:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 07:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 12:01
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 07:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:01
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.58%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -5.92%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:19
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -7.60%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:00
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -8.46%E -3.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:01
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 09:10
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 09:10
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.65%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.50%EV -5.36%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 02:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 05:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 05:28
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 02:54
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.22%E -3.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 02:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.78%E -4.56%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 10:19
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -11.02%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -11.02%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:01
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -11.02%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.45%E -5.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -11.22%E -3.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.66%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -12.31%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 05:23
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.31%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.29%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 05:24
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.31%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.33%E -5.21%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.45%E -7.22%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -10.29%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -21.78%E -7.26%K -10.89%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-12 05:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -21.72%E -11.87%K -26.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -15.27%E -4.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-22 12:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-04-12 10:20