L’École des cotes

FC Zwolle v Excelsior

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 12:30 UTC

Score final : FC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prévision 42.78%2.34cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.57%42.77%42.71%46.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.162.202.2854.64%46.34%45.45%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Excelsior (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.15%3.21cote équitable
EV -0.317%
Avantage -0.099%
Kelly -0.144%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.41%31.15%31.20%32.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.29%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.07%3.84cote équitable
EV -0.926%
Avantage -0.244%
Kelly -0.331%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.88%26.07%26.10%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.573.603.8033.33%28.04%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.47%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.65%EV -2.90%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.83%EV -2.19%E -0.696%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.23%E -0.595%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 07:25
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.77%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.91%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.79%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%EV -0.317%E -0.099%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.70%EV -0.926%E -0.244%K -0.331%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 09:09
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -0.317%E -0.099%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.23%E -0.595%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 12:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.64%EV -4.61%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%EV -0.317%E -0.099%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%EV -2.23%E -0.595%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 10:56
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 05:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 02:54
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 02:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 12:00
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:29
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:30
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 07:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 07:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 12:01
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 07:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:01
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.58%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -7.17%E -3.31%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -5.92%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:19
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -7.60%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:00
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -8.46%E -3.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:01
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 09:10
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 09:10
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.65%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.50%EV -5.36%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 02:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 05:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 05:28
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -4.99%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -8.10%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 02:54
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.22%E -3.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 02:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.78%E -4.56%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 10:19
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -11.02%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -11.02%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:01
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -11.02%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.45%E -5.53%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -11.22%E -3.94%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -12.66%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -12.31%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.66%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 05:23
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.31%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.29%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 05:24
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.31%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.33%E -5.21%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.45%E -7.22%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -10.29%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -21.78%E -7.26%K -10.89%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-12 05:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -21.72%E -11.87%K -26.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -3.43%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -15.27%E -4.70%K -6.78%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-04-12 10:20