The School of OddsFC Zwolle v Ajax
Head to Head
Option 1: FC Zwolle (Local)
Odds
3.6027.78%Min
4.1224.30%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
4.5022.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.01%4.760Min
23.45%4.265Max
22.06%4.534Mean
22.09%4.527Median
22.04%4.537IQM
21.94%4.558Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 22.04%
EV -0.811%Edge -0.180%Kelly -0.232%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Ajax (Visit)
Odds
1.5863.29%Min
1.6759.87%Mean
1.6959.17%Median
1.7457.47%Max
Consensus probabilities
53.43%1.872Min
56.57%1.768Max
55.19%1.812Mean
54.89%1.822Median
55.14%1.813IQM
55.27%1.809Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 55.14%
EV -4.05%Edge -2.33%Kelly -5.47%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.6527.40%Min
3.9625.23%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.2523.53%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.09%4.526Min
23.84%4.195Max
22.76%4.394Mean
23.02%4.344Median
22.81%4.383IQM
22.79%4.388Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.25 under the IQM model: 22.81%
EV -3.04%Edge -0.715%Kelly -0.936%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | FC Zwolle (Local) ▼ | Ajax (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.01%EV -0.811% E -0.180% K -0.232% G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17% NM 55.94%EV -6.81% E -4.03% K -9.86% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.06%EV -6.46% E -1.58% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 11:12 |
| 1xBet | 4.42I 22.62% NM 21.74%EV -2.57% E -0.582% K -0.753% G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.22%EV -4.05% E -2.33% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98% NM 23.04%EV -4.87% E -1.17% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 11:19 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.36%EV -3.02% E -0.685% K -0.887% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 56.27%EV -7.91% E -4.74% K -11.81% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.37%EV -4.18% E -0.996% K -1.31% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 11:03 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.34%EV -3.02% E -0.685% K -0.887% G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24% NM 56.57%EV -8.46% E -5.10% K -12.82% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.09%EV -3.04% E -0.715% K -0.936% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.88%EV -5.22% E -1.21% K -1.58% G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52% NM 55.99%EV -7.36% E -4.38% K -10.82% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.13%EV -3.04% E -0.715% K -0.936% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.71%EV -5.22% E -1.21% K -1.58% G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17% NM 55.24%EV -6.81% E -4.03% K -9.86% G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69% NM 23.05%EV -7.60% E -1.88% K -2.49% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 11:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 11:04 |
| BetRivers | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 14:14 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 14:19 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 14:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-06 14:19 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.54%EV -7.42% E -1.77% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 55.84%EV -10.67% E -6.58% K -17.20% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.62%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-06 11:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.79%EV -9.63% E -2.35% K -3.11% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.96%EV -6.26% E -3.68% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.25%EV -4.18% E -0.996% K -1.31% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.63%EV -12.93% E -3.27% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 53.53%EV -7.91% E -4.74% K -11.81% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.84%EV -14.45% E -3.85% K -5.25% G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-06 14:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.63%EV -12.93% E -3.27% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 53.53%EV -7.91% E -4.74% K -11.81% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.84%EV -14.45% E -3.85% K -5.25% G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-06 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.63%EV -12.93% E -3.27% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 53.53%EV -7.91% E -4.74% K -11.81% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.84%EV -14.45% E -3.85% K -5.25% G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-06 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 22.41%EV -15.14% E -3.93% K -5.31% G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89% NM 54.27%EV -12.32% E -7.75% K -20.88% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 23.32%EV -15.59% E -4.21% K -5.77% G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-07-06 11:05 |
| BoyleSports | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.28%EV -16.24% E -4.27% K -5.80% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 54.61%EV -10.67% E -6.58% K -17.20% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.12%EV -8.74% E -2.19% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-06 11:05 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32% NM 22.79%EV -16.24% E -4.27% K -5.80% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 54.12%EV -11.77% E -7.36% K -19.62% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.09%EV -14.45% E -3.85% K -5.25% G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-07-06 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.25%EV -17.34% E -4.62% K -6.31% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 53.81%EV -10.67% E -6.58% K -17.20% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 22.94%EV -13.31% E -3.50% K -4.75% G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-06 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78% NM 23.45%EV -20.65% E -5.74% K -7.94% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 53.43%EV -12.87% E -8.15% K -22.19% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 23.13%EV -16.73% E -4.58% K -6.31% G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-07-06 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | FC Zwolle (Local) | Ajax (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-07-06 11:55 |