The School of Odds

FC Zwolle v Ajax

2026-08-09 12:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prediction 17.88%5.59fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.339%
Kelly +0.411%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%18.01%17.93%20.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.205.065.105.7023.81%19.77%19.61%17.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ajax (Visit)

Prediction 61.00%1.64fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -7.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.22%60.93%60.92%62.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.371.521.531.5772.99%65.83%65.36%63.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.11%4.74fair odd
EV +0.285%
Edge +0.060%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.13%21.06%21.15%22.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.904.314.254.7525.64%23.23%23.53%21.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.82%EV +1.93%E +0.339%K +0.411%G +0.008%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.05%E -3.93%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.93%EV -3.30%E -0.721%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:04
Pinnacle5.61I 17.83%NM 16.87%EV +0.321%E +0.057%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.68%EV -7.88%E -5.22%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.44%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:15
Marathon Bet5.55I 18.02%NM 16.81%EV -0.752%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -8.49%E -5.66%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 22:00
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.65%E -0.299%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.66%E -4.35%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +0.285%E +0.060%K +0.076%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 07:19
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.65%E -0.299%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -7.88%E -5.22%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -2.88%E -0.626%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 22:04
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.65%E -0.299%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.27%E -4.78%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 07:19
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.65%E -0.299%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.49%E -5.66%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 05:20
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -1.65%E -0.299%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -9.10%E -6.11%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 13:05
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.65%E -0.299%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -11.54%E -7.96%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -7.10%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 16:15
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.43%E -0.636%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.44%E -3.51%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 15:50
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.43%E -0.636%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.44%E -3.51%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 15:50
SportsBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -3.43%E -0.636%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.49%E -5.66%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -2.88%E -0.626%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 07:19
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -3.43%E -0.636%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.49%E -5.66%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -2.88%E -0.626%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 07:18
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.12%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 16:15
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.12%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.66%E -4.35%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.10%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 16:15
betano_uk5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.12%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.66%E -4.35%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.10%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 16:14
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:14
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:15
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:15
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:15
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:15
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:14
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:15
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.80%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -4.83%E -3.10%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 16:15
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -10.59%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -5.44%E -3.51%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 21:40
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.59%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -6.05%E -3.93%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 16:15
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.59%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.49%E -5.66%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 16:15
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.59%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.49%E -5.66%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 16:15
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.59%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.49%E -5.66%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 16:15
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.59%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.49%E -5.66%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 16:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -10.59%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -12.15%E -8.44%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -7.10%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 07:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -10.59%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -12.15%E -8.44%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -7.10%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.88%E -0.626%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 07:19
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.88%E -0.626%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 07:19
BetMGM4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.22%E -2.69%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -2.88%E -0.626%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 07:19
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.49%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 61.27%EV -16.42%E -11.99%K -44.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.25%EV -16.60%E -4.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-22 13:45
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -15.95%E -3.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.22%EV -6.05%E -3.93%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.60%E -4.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-20 16:15
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -15.95%E -3.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.22%EV -6.05%E -3.93%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.60%E -4.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-20 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -15.95%E -3.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.22%EV -6.05%E -3.93%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.60%E -4.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-20 16:15
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -16.85%E -3.62%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.39%EV -9.71%E -6.56%K -20.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.70%EV -14.49%E -3.58%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 12:34
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -17.74%E -3.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -7.88%E -5.22%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -17.66%E -4.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-22 06:25
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%EV -17.74%E -3.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.77%EV -12.15%E -8.44%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-23 07:19
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.31%EV -19.53%E -4.34%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.70%EV -9.71%E -6.56%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -16.60%E -4.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-25 12:35
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.82%EV -21.32%E -4.84%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.92%EV -9.71%E -6.56%K -20.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.27%EV -13.44%E -3.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-20 16:15
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -22.57%E -5.21%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -6.66%E -4.35%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 16:15
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.11%EV -24.89%E -5.93%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 58.24%EV -11.54%E -7.96%K -25.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.65%EV -17.66%E -4.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-22 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%4.1%2026-07-26 04:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%4.1%2026-07-26 04:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%4.1%2026-07-26 04:30
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%7.2%2026-07-26 04:40