Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zwolle v Ajax

Início: 2026-08-09 12:30 UTC

Final: FC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zwolle (Local)

Previsão 15.44%6.48odd justa
EV +4.98%
Vantagem +0.733%
Kelly +0.859%
Crescimento +0.043%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.94%15.57%15.30%19.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.506.096.006.8022.22%16.42%16.67%14.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ajax (Visitante)

Previsão 64.24%1.56odd justa
EV -3.64%
Vantagem -2.43%
Kelly -7.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.15%64.06%64.34%65.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.451.451.5072.46%68.94%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.32%4.92odd justa
EV -0.433%
Vantagem -0.088%
Kelly -0.111%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.39%20.37%20.35%21.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.564.604.9023.81%21.92%21.74%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Zwolle (Local): 15.44%; Ajax (Visitante): 64.24%; Empate: 20.32%. Para FC Zwolle (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.48. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.98%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.20%EV +4.98%E +0.733%K +0.859%G +0.043%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.20%EV +4.98%E +0.733%K +0.859%G +0.043%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 12:10
BetUS🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.20%EV +4.98%E +0.733%K +0.859%G +0.043%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 12:09
BetAnything🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.20%EV +4.98%E +0.733%K +0.859%G +0.043%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.48%EV +4.21%E +0.624%K +0.732%G +0.031%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%EV -0.433%E -0.088%K -0.111%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.48%EV +4.21%E +0.624%K +0.732%G +0.031%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%EV -0.433%E -0.088%K -0.111%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.48%EV +4.21%E +0.624%K +0.732%G +0.031%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%EV -0.433%E -0.088%K -0.111%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 12:20
1xBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +4.21%E +0.624%K +0.732%G +0.031%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.65%EV -3.64%E -2.43%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.99%EV -6.12%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-09 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV +3.44%E +0.513%K +0.603%G +0.021%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.78%E -6.18%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 12:20
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.57%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:45
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.57%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:44
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.48%E -0.733%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 12:24
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 12:15
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.78%E -6.18%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 12:14
Pinnacle🎯6.42I 15.58%NM 14.90%EV -0.884%E -0.138%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -5.56%E -3.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.02%EV -2.87%E -0.601%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 12:20
Betsson🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -1.19%E -0.186%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -9.58%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 12:25
NordicBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -1.19%E -0.186%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -9.58%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:49
Grosvenor🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -1.19%E -0.186%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 12:20
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.561%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.77%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -5.51%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 12:24
Unibet (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.51%E -0.561%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 12:20
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.51%E -0.561%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 12:20
betPARX🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.51%E -0.561%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -5.05%E -0.822%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.77%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -5.51%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 12:24
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.82%E -0.955%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 12:20
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 11:45
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.48%E -0.733%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 12:10
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.48%E -0.733%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 10:00
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -5.56%E -3.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 12:10
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 12:25
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 12:25
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 12:20
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.06%E -7.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.06%E -7.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.35%E -8.22%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 12:24
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.78%E -6.18%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -9.42%E -6.68%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -11.61%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -9.42%E -6.68%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -11.61%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -9.42%E -6.68%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -11.61%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:45
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -3.64%E -2.43%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 05:00
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 12:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -5.56%E -3.79%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 10:00
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%EV -10.06%E -7.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -12.62%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 12:20
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -10.06%E -7.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -14.66%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -11.61%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 12:07
Unibet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.89%EV -9.42%E -6.68%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 12:09
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -15.09%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 10:00
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.09%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -16.63%E -3.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -18.18%E -3.43%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.43%EV -8.78%E -6.18%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 12:10
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -30.53%E -6.78%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -3.64%E -2.43%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -14.66%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 08:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.73%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%0.1%2026-08-09 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-08-09 12:25
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-08-09 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-08-09 12:20
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-08-09 12:25
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%2.0%2026-08-09 12:20