Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.80
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Zwolle (Local): 15.44%; Ajax (Visitante): 64.24%; Empate: 20.32%. Para FC Zwolle (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.48. 14 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.98%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.20%EV +4.98%E +0.733%K +0.859%G +0.043% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.20%EV +4.98%E +0.733%K +0.859%G +0.043% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.20%EV +4.98%E +0.733%K +0.859%G +0.043% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 12:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.20%EV +4.98%E +0.733%K +0.859%G +0.043% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.48%EV +4.21%E +0.624%K +0.732%G +0.031% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%EV -0.433%E -0.088%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.48%EV +4.21%E +0.624%K +0.732%G +0.031% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%EV -0.433%E -0.088%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.48%EV +4.21%E +0.624%K +0.732%G +0.031% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%EV -0.433%E -0.088%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +4.21%E +0.624%K +0.732%G +0.031% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.65%EV -3.64%E -2.43%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.99%EV -6.12%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV +3.44%E +0.513%K +0.603%G +0.021% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.78%E -6.18%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.57%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.57%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 11:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.48%E -0.733%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 12:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 12:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.351%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.78%E -6.18%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 12:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.42I 15.58%NM 14.90%EV -0.884%E -0.138%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -5.56%E -3.79%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.02%EV -2.87%E -0.601%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -1.19%E -0.186%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -9.58%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -1.19%E -0.186%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -9.58%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -1.19%E -0.186%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -3.51%E -0.561%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.77%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -5.51%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 12:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.51%E -0.561%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.51%E -0.561%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.51%E -0.561%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -5.05%E -0.822%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.77%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -5.51%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 12:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.82%E -0.955%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.48%E -0.733%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.48%E -0.733%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -5.56%E -3.79%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 12:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.06%E -7.19%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.06%E -7.19%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.02%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.37%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.35%E -8.22%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 12:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -8.78%E -6.18%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -9.42%E -6.68%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -11.61%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -9.42%E -6.68%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -11.61%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -10.46%E -1.80%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -9.42%E -6.68%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -11.61%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.46%E -0.513%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -3.64%E -2.43%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 12:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -5.56%E -3.79%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -4.92%E -3.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.59%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%EV -10.06%E -7.19%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -12.62%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -11.23%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -10.06%E -7.19%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -14.66%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -11.61%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 12:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.89%EV -9.42%E -6.68%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 12:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -15.09%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.09%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.56%E -1.90%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -16.63%E -3.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -8.13%E -5.69%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -4.50%E -0.957%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.99%EV -18.18%E -3.43%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.43%EV -8.78%E -6.18%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -6.53%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -30.53%E -6.78%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -3.64%E -2.43%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -14.66%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 08:05 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.73% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39% | 0.1% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 12:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 12:20 |