Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Utrecht v Willem II

2026-10-11 10:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Utrecht (Casa)

Previsione 63.25%1.58quota equa
EV -3.23%
Vantaggio -2.11%
Kelly -6.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.84%63.09%63.04%64.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.461.451.5370.42%68.48%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Willem II (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.20%6.17quota equa
EV -1.16%
Vantaggio -0.190%
Kelly -0.227%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.44%16.39%16.23%19.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.655.636.1022.22%17.69%17.78%16.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.55%4.87quota equa
EV -1.36%
Vantaggio -0.282%
Kelly -0.357%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.46%20.52%20.73%21.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.054.464.454.8024.69%22.42%22.47%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: FC Utrecht (Casa): 63.25%; Willem II (Trasferta): 16.20%; Pareggio: 20.55%. Per Willem II (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.17. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 6.10, con un valore atteso del -1.16%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.48%EV -5.53%E -0.949%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.71%EV -4.64%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 09:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.06%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -15.74%E -3.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-21 12:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -14.93%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 12:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.17%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.17%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.17%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 10:09
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -2.38%E -0.502%K -0.635%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 12:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.47%EV -8.45%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 09:38
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.58%EV -1.48%E -0.244%K -0.292%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.98%EV -2.59%E -0.546%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 09:44
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.08%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 10:09
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.35%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -3.41%E -0.726%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 10:06
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.02%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-21 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -25.46%E -5.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-21 12:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.02%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 08:04
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 10:09
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 10:09
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -2.38%E -0.502%K -0.635%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-21 07:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-21 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-21 10:09
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.01%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-21 07:38
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-21 07:49
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-21 07:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-21 07:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-21 07:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.84%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.15%EV -27.08%E -6.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.02%EV -15.74%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-21 12:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-21 10:09
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-21 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-21 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.34%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.36%EV -23.84%E -5.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.30%EV -16.77%E -4.14%K -5.50%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-21 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.14%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -11.63%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 10:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 59.61%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.66%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.73%16.5%2026-09-21 12:24