Idioma:Español
FC Utrecht v Willem II
Resultado del partido
FC Utrecht (Local)
Predicción 63.25%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -6.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.84%63.09%63.04%64.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.461.451.5370.42%68.48%68.97%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Willem II (Visitante)
Predicción 16.20%6.17momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.227%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.44%16.39%16.23%19.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.655.636.1022.22%17.69%17.78%16.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.55%4.87momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.282%
Kelly -0.357%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.46%20.52%20.73%21.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.054.464.454.8024.69%22.42%22.47%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: FC Utrecht (Local): 63.25%; Willem II (Visitante): 16.20%; Empate: 20.55%. Para Willem II (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.17. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 6.10, con un valor esperado de -1.16%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.48%EV -5.53%E -0.949%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.71%EV -4.64%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-21 09:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.06%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -15.74%E -3.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-21 12:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -14.93%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.17%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.17%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.17%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -2.38%E -0.502%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-21 12:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-21 12:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.47%EV -8.45%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-21 09:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.58%EV -1.48%E -0.244%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.98%EV -2.59%E -0.546%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 09:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.08%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.35%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -3.41%E -0.726%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-21 10:06 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.02%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -25.46%E -5.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-21 12:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.02%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-21 08:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -2.38%E -0.502%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-21 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.01%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-21 07:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-21 07:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-21 07:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-21 07:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-21 07:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.84%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.15%EV -27.08%E -6.02%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.02%EV -15.74%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-21 12:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.34%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.36%EV -23.84%E -5.07%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.30%EV -16.77%E -4.14%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-21 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.14%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -11.63%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-21 10:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.61% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.66% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.73% | 16.5% | 2026-09-21 12:24 |