Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Utrecht v Willem II

2026-10-11 10:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Utrecht (Local)

Prévision 63.25%1.58cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -6.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.84%63.09%63.04%64.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.461.451.5370.42%68.48%68.97%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Willem II (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.20%6.17cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.227%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.44%16.39%16.23%19.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.655.636.1022.22%17.69%17.78%16.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.55%4.87cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.282%
Kelly -0.357%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.46%20.52%20.73%21.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.054.464.454.8024.69%22.42%22.47%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : FC Utrecht (Local) : 63.25% ; Willem II (Visiteur) : 16.20% ; Match nul : 20.55%. Pour Willem II (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.17. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 6.10, pour une espérance de -1.16% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.81%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.48%EV -5.53%E -0.949%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.71%EV -4.64%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 09:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.06%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -15.74%E -3.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.09%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-21 12:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -14.93%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 12:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.17%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.17%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.17%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 10:09
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -2.38%E -0.502%K -0.635%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 12:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.47%EV -8.45%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 09:38
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.58%EV -1.48%E -0.244%K -0.292%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.98%EV -2.59%E -0.546%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 09:44
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.08%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -1.16%E -0.190%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 10:09
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.35%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -3.41%E -0.726%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 10:06
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.02%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-21 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -25.46%E -5.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-21 12:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.02%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.36%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 08:04
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 10:09
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 10:09
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.78%E -0.463%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -2.38%E -0.502%K -0.635%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-21 07:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-21 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.97%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-21 10:09
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.01%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-21 07:38
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-21 07:49
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-21 07:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-21 07:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.88%E -1.98%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.69%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-21 07:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.84%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.15%EV -27.08%E -6.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.02%EV -15.74%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-21 12:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-21 10:09
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-21 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-21 10:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.34%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.36%EV -23.84%E -5.07%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.30%EV -16.77%E -4.14%K -5.50%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-21 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.14%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -9.26%E -1.65%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -11.63%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 59.61%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.66%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.73%16.5%2026-09-21 12:24