Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede v NEC Nijmegen

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 48.82%2.05fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.62%48.78%48.87%50.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.912.0055.56%52.78%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NEC Nijmegen (Visit)

Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +0.835%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%27.56%27.48%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.7533.33%29.45%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.68%4.22fair odd
EV -0.564%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%23.66%23.65%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.933.954.2030.30%25.47%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 48.82%; NEC Nijmegen (Visit): 27.50%; Draw: 23.68%. For NEC Nijmegen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.65%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%EV +3.13%E +0.835%K +1.14%G +0.036%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.61%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.650%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.61%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.650%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -8.21%E -4.37%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV +0.381%E +0.104%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -8.70%E -4.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -0.994%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:19
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.994%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 01:45
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.994%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 01:45
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.78%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.15%EV -5.77%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:15
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:09
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:19
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.41%EV -3.64%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:20
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -11.14%E -6.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -11.14%E -6.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:13
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -8.61%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.28%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 07:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 22:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 19:01
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.53%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.36%EV -10.17%E -5.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.36%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:05
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:39
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:00
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 03:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 20:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -13.59%E -3.72%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 19:04
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 20:40
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -10.17%E -5.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -13.37%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 19:01
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-24 03:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -21.87%E -6.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.93%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -12.40%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-22 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-24 03:10