La escuela de los momios

FC Twente Enschede v NEC Nijmegen

Inicio: 2026-04-25 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Predicción 48.82%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.62%48.78%48.87%50.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.891.912.0055.56%52.78%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

NEC Nijmegen (Visitante)

Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV +3.13%
Ventaja +0.835%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%27.56%27.48%28.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.7533.33%29.45%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.68%4.22momio equitativo
EV -0.564%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.176%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.76%23.66%23.65%25.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.933.954.2030.30%25.47%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.65%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%EV +3.13%E +0.835%K +1.14%G +0.036%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 00:49
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.61%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.650%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 12:19
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.61%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.650%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 12:19
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -8.21%E -4.37%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV +0.381%E +0.104%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -8.70%E -4.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -0.994%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:19
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.994%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 01:45
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.994%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 01:45
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.78%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.15%EV -5.77%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:09
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:10
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:19
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.41%EV -3.64%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:30
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:15
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -11.14%E -6.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -11.14%E -6.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:13
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:15
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -8.61%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:19
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:19
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:19
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 22:20
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.28%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 07:05
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 22:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 00:35
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 19:01
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.53%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.36%EV -10.17%E -5.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.36%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:05
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:39
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:39
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:00
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 03:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:09
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 19:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 20:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 19:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 20:54
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -13.59%E -3.72%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 19:04
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 20:40
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -10.17%E -5.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -13.37%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 22:20
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 19:01
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-24 03:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -21.87%E -6.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.93%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -12.40%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-22 22:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-24 03:10