Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Twente Enschede v NEC Nijmegen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prévision 48.82%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.62%48.78%48.87%50.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.912.0055.56%52.78%52.36%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV +3.13%
Avantage +0.835%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.00%27.56%27.48%28.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.7533.33%29.45%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.68%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.564%
Avantage -0.134%
Kelly -0.176%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.76%23.66%23.65%25.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.933.954.2030.30%25.47%25.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Twente Enschede (Local) : 48.82% ; NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur) : 27.50% ; Match nul : 23.68%. Pour NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +3.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.65%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%EV +3.13%E +0.835%K +1.14%G +0.036%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.61%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.650%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.61%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.650%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -8.21%E -4.37%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV +0.381%E +0.104%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -8.70%E -4.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -0.994%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:19
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.994%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 01:45
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.994%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 01:45
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.78%EV -3.82%E -1.94%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.15%EV -5.77%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:15
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:09
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:19
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.41%EV -3.64%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:20
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.26%E -3.26%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -11.14%E -6.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -11.14%E -6.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.48%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:13
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -8.61%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.28%E -2.72%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 07:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 22:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 19:01
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.53%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.36%EV -10.17%E -5.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.36%EV -8.69%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:05
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -3.33%E -1.68%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -0.564%E -0.134%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:39
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -2.93%E -0.715%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:00
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 03:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -4.79%E -2.46%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.24%E -3.81%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 20:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -13.59%E -3.72%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 19:04
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.75%E -3.53%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.30%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 20:40
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -5.77%E -2.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -8.85%E -2.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -10.17%E -5.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -13.37%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.67%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -9.68%E -5.23%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.22%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 19:01
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-24 03:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -10.65%E -5.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -21.87%E -6.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.93%EV -12.12%E -6.73%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -12.40%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-22 22:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%3.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-04-24 03:10