Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede v FC Volendam

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 78.55%1.27fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -14.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.05%78.58%78.48%81.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.181.2389.29%84.92%84.75%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Volendam (Visit)

Prediction 8.49%11.78fair odd
EV +27.37%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.535%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.46%8.45%8.53%10.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.7411.2515.0011.76%8.52%8.89%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.96%7.72fair odd
EV +3.67%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.524%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.91%12.97%13.00%14.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.197.208.0016.67%13.90%13.89%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 78.55%; FC Volendam (Visit): 8.49%; Draw: 12.96%. For FC Volendam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.78. 26 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +27.37%E +1.82%K +1.96%G +0.535%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +3.67%E +0.459%K +0.524%G +0.019%2.5%2026-04-10 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +27.37%E +1.82%K +1.96%G +0.535%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +3.67%E +0.459%K +0.524%G +0.019%2.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.43%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.46%EV +27.37%E +1.82%K +1.96%G +0.535%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +3.67%E +0.459%K +0.524%G +0.019%3.2%2026-04-10 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -8.10%E -6.92%K -47.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -8.10%E -6.92%K -47.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 17:30
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:20
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.94%EV -9.67%E -8.41%K -64.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.94%EV -9.67%E -8.41%K -64.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 14:19
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -6.05%E -0.834%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +3.67%E +0.459%K +0.524%G +0.019%4.9%2026-04-10 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.24%E -9.95%K -86.45%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.24%E -9.95%K -86.45%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.24%E -9.95%K -86.45%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +6.15%E +0.492%K +0.534%G +0.033%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.555%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:05
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +6.15%E +0.492%K +0.534%G +0.033%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.555%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -8.10%E -6.92%K -47.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -12.53%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -12.53%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -12.53%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:35
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.77%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.40%EV -4.96%E -4.10%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.32I 8.83%NM 8.49%EV -3.87%E -0.342%K -0.375%G +0.000%7.93I 12.61%NM 12.11%EV +2.76%E +0.349%K +0.399%G +0.011%4.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.31%EV -4.47%E -0.397%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:44
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.03%EV -3.38%E -2.75%K -14.71%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.76%EV -5.74%E -0.517%K -0.569%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 12.21%EV +3.15%E +0.396%K +0.453%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-10 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.96%E -4.10%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -6.70%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 17:34
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 06:29
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -15.77%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.67%E -8.41%K -64.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.30%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.01%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -22.25%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.85%EV -4.17%E -3.42%K -18.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -10.84%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -6.05%E -0.834%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 06:40
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.84%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:45
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.84%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:45
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.17%E -3.42%K -18.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.17%E -3.42%K -18.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 06:40
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:50
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:45
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -19.01%E -3.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-10 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 78.25%EV -12.02%E -10.74%K -100.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -12.53%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -16.78%E -1.71%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -6.70%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -16.78%E -1.71%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -6.70%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.39%EV -9.67%E -8.41%K -64.45%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.13%EV -17.21%E -1.76%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.48%EV -14.47%E -2.19%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.89%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.39%EV -19.33%E -2.03%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -15.77%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -23.58%E -2.62%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.05%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.38%EV -27.82%E -3.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.77%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.18%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%1.0%2026-04-10 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.05%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.05%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.05%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.05%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.92%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.53%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.55%2.1%2026-04-10 17:50