Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Twente Enschede v FC Volendam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prévision 78.55%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -14.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.05%78.58%78.48%81.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.121.181.181.2389.29%84.92%84.75%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Volendam (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.49%11.78cote équitable
EV +27.37%
Avantage +1.82%
Kelly +1.96%
Croissance +0.535%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.46%8.45%8.53%10.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5011.7411.2515.0011.76%8.52%8.89%6.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 12.96%7.72cote équitable
EV +3.67%
Avantage +0.459%
Kelly +0.524%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.91%12.97%13.00%14.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.197.208.0016.67%13.90%13.89%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Twente Enschede (Local) : 78.55% ; FC Volendam (Visiteur) : 8.49% ; Match nul : 12.96%. Pour FC Volendam (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.78. 26 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 15.00, soit une espérance positive de +27.37%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +27.37%E +1.82%K +1.96%G +0.535%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +3.67%E +0.459%K +0.524%G +0.019%2.5%2026-04-10 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.30%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.50%EV +27.37%E +1.82%K +1.96%G +0.535%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +3.67%E +0.459%K +0.524%G +0.019%2.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.43%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.46%EV +27.37%E +1.82%K +1.96%G +0.535%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +3.67%E +0.459%K +0.524%G +0.019%3.2%2026-04-10 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -8.10%E -6.92%K -47.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -8.10%E -6.92%K -47.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 17:30
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:20
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.94%EV -9.67%E -8.41%K -64.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.94%EV -9.67%E -8.41%K -64.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 14:19
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV +18.88%E +1.35%K +1.45%G +0.274%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -6.05%E -0.834%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +3.67%E +0.459%K +0.524%G +0.019%4.9%2026-04-10 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.24%E -9.95%K -86.45%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.24%E -9.95%K -86.45%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -11.24%E -9.95%K -86.45%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV +10.39%E +0.799%K +0.866%G +0.090%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +6.15%E +0.492%K +0.534%G +0.033%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.555%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:05
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +6.15%E +0.492%K +0.534%G +0.033%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.555%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -8.10%E -6.92%K -47.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -12.53%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -12.53%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.53%E -5.48%K -34.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -12.53%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:35
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV +1.90%E +0.158%K +0.173%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.77%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.40%EV -4.96%E -4.10%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.32I 8.83%NM 8.49%EV -3.87%E -0.342%K -0.375%G +0.000%7.93I 12.61%NM 12.11%EV +2.76%E +0.349%K +0.399%G +0.011%4.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.31%EV -4.47%E -0.397%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:44
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.03%EV -3.38%E -2.75%K -14.71%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.76%EV -5.74%E -0.517%K -0.569%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 12.21%EV +3.15%E +0.396%K +0.453%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-10 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.96%E -4.10%K -23.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -6.70%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 17:34
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 06:29
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -15.77%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.67%E -8.41%K -64.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.30%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.01%EV -6.59%E -0.599%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -22.25%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.85%EV -4.17%E -3.42%K -18.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -10.84%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -6.05%E -0.834%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 06:40
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.84%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:45
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.48%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -10.84%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -2.81%E -0.374%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:45
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.17%E -3.42%K -18.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.17%E -3.42%K -18.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 06:40
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:50
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -5.74%E -4.78%K -28.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 17:45
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -10.45%E -9.17%K -74.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -19.01%E -3.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-10 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 78.25%EV -12.02%E -10.74%K -100.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -15.08%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -12.53%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -16.78%E -1.71%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -6.70%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.38%EV -16.78%E -1.71%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -6.70%E -0.930%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.39%EV -9.67%E -8.41%K -64.45%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.13%EV -17.21%E -1.76%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.48%EV -14.47%E -2.19%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.89%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.39%EV -19.33%E -2.03%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -15.77%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -7.31%E -6.20%K -40.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -23.58%E -2.62%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -9.29%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.05%EV -8.88%E -7.66%K -55.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.38%EV -27.82%E -3.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.77%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.18%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%1.0%2026-04-10 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.05%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.05%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.05%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.05%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.92%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.53%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.55%2.1%2026-04-10 17:50