Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede v FC Utrecht

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 11:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 57.46%1.74fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.36%57.41%57.47%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.621.621.7069.44%61.83%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Utrecht (Visit)

Prediction 19.40%5.16fair odd
EV +8.62%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.162%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.40%19.40%19.35%21.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.894.805.6023.26%20.43%20.83%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.14%4.32fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.19%23.19%23.18%25.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.964.004.2029.41%25.26%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 57.46%; FC Utrecht (Visit): 19.40%; Draw: 23.14%. For FC Utrecht (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +8.62%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.162%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-15 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%EV +6.68%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.099%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%EV +6.68%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.099%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.80%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV +4.74%E +0.878%K +1.08%G +0.051%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 10:20
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +4.74%E +0.878%K +1.08%G +0.051%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 08:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:20
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:20
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.77%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.29%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.520%G +0.012%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV +1.83%E +0.349%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV +1.83%E +0.349%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 10:20
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.36%EV -8.64%E -5.43%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -10.36%E -6.64%K -18.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.94%E -7.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.94%E -7.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.14%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.14%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 11:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 11:08
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 11:05
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 11:05
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.93%EV -5.73%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.11%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 11:10
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -3.47%E -2.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:10
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -3.47%E -2.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 11:05
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.99%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.45%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -16.69%E -4.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 11:05
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -8.83%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 11:10
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -8.83%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -12.08%E -7.90%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.17%EV -9.80%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 11:02
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:10
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -14.96%E -10.11%K -31.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-15 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 57.99%EV -17.26%E -11.98%K -39.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.15%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.86%EV -19.00%E -5.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -9.21%E -5.83%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.71%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -12.66%E -8.33%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.71%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -12.08%E -7.90%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -12.71%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -21.32%E -6.27%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-15 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -14.65%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.22%E -3.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 11:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -11.51%E -7.47%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-03-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-03-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.25%3.2%2026-03-15 11:10