La escuela de los momios

FC Twente Enschede v FC Utrecht

Inicio: 2026-03-15 11:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Predicción 57.46%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -3.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.36%57.41%57.47%59.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.621.621.7069.44%61.83%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Utrecht (Visitante)

Predicción 19.40%5.16momio equitativo
EV +8.62%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +1.87%
Crecimiento +0.162%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.40%19.40%19.35%21.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.894.805.6023.26%20.43%20.83%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.14%4.32momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -0.668%
Kelly -0.876%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.19%23.19%23.18%25.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.964.004.2029.41%25.26%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +8.62%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.162%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-15 09:00
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%EV +6.68%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.099%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 10:20
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%EV +6.68%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.099%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.80%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV +4.74%E +0.878%K +1.08%G +0.051%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 10:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +4.74%E +0.878%K +1.08%G +0.051%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 08:55
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 11:00
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 10:20
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.77%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.29%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.520%G +0.012%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 11:00
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV +1.83%E +0.349%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 10:20
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV +1.83%E +0.349%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 10:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.36%EV -8.64%E -5.43%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -10.36%E -6.64%K -18.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 10:20
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.94%E -7.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 10:20
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.94%E -7.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 10:20
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.14%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.14%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 11:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 11:08
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 11:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 11:05
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.93%EV -5.73%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.11%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 11:10
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -3.47%E -2.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:10
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -3.47%E -2.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 11:05
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 11:05
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.99%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.45%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:05
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -16.69%E -4.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 11:05
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -8.83%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 11:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -8.83%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -12.08%E -7.90%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.17%EV -9.80%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 11:02
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:10
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -14.96%E -10.11%K -31.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-15 11:10
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.99%EV -17.26%E -11.98%K -39.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.15%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.86%EV -19.00%E -5.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -9.21%E -5.83%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.71%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -12.66%E -8.33%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.71%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -12.08%E -7.90%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -12.71%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -21.32%E -6.27%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-15 10:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -14.65%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.22%E -3.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -11.51%E -7.47%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-03-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-03-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.25%3.2%2026-03-15 11:10