L’École des cotes

FC Twente Enschede v FC Utrecht

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 11:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prévision 57.46%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -3.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.36%57.41%57.47%59.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.621.621.7069.44%61.83%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Utrecht (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.40%5.16cote équitable
EV +8.62%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.162%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.40%19.40%19.35%21.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.894.805.6023.26%20.43%20.83%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.14%4.32cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.668%
Kelly -0.876%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.19%23.19%23.18%25.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.964.004.2029.41%25.26%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +8.62%E +1.54%K +1.87%G +0.162%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-15 09:00
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%EV +6.68%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.099%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 10:20
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%EV +6.68%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.099%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.80%EV -7.49%E -4.65%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV +4.74%E +0.878%K +1.08%G +0.051%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 10:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV +4.74%E +0.878%K +1.08%G +0.051%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 08:55
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 11:00
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV +2.80%E +0.529%K +0.652%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 10:20
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.77%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.29%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.520%G +0.012%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 11:00
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV +1.83%E +0.349%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 10:20
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.94%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV +1.83%E +0.349%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 10:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.36%EV -8.64%E -5.43%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -10.36%E -6.64%K -18.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 10:20
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.94%E -7.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 10:20
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -10.94%E -7.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV +0.864%E +0.166%K +0.206%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 10:20
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.14%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.14%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 11:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 11:08
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -8.06%E -5.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.02%E -0.603%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 11:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -6.34%E -3.89%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.96%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 11:05
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.93%EV -5.73%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.11%EV -3.04%E -0.724%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 11:10
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -3.47%E -2.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:10
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -3.47%E -2.06%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -2.80%E -0.668%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 11:05
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 11:05
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.99%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -6.90%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.45%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:05
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -9.79%E -6.23%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -7.86%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -16.69%E -4.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 11:05
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -8.83%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 11:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -8.83%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -12.08%E -7.90%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.17%EV -9.80%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -8.59%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 11:02
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -2.89%E -1.71%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 11:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:10
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.14%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -14.96%E -10.11%K -31.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-15 11:10
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.99%EV -17.26%E -11.98%K -39.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.15%EV -10.77%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.86%EV -19.00%E -5.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -9.21%E -5.83%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.71%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -12.66%E -8.33%K -24.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.71%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.90%E -2.83%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -12.08%E -7.90%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -12.71%E -2.83%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -21.32%E -6.27%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-15 10:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -2.32%E -1.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -14.65%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -13.22%E -3.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -4.04%E -2.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.43%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -6.91%E -4.27%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -16.01%E -3.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.06%E -3.17%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -11.51%E -7.47%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -9.75%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 11:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-03-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-03-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-03-15 11:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-03-15 11:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.25%3.2%2026-03-15 11:10