Школа коэффициентов

AZ Alkmaar v NAC Breda

Начало: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Итог: AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Хозяева)

Прогноз 70.06%1.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.72%
Преимущество -3.47%
Kelly -13.10%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.36

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.98%70.00%70.12%71.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.261.331.331.3679.37%75.43%75.19%73.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

NAC Breda (Гости)

Прогноз 12.75%7.84справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.35%
Преимущество +0.983%
Kelly +1.11%
Рост +0.093%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.40%12.78%12.67%14.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.257.317.208.5016.00%13.68%13.89%11.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 17.19%5.82справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.298%
Преимущество -0.051%
Kelly -0.062%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.12%17.22%17.21%19.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.325.405.8022.22%18.79%18.52%17.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV +8.35%E +0.983%K +1.11%G +0.093%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV -1.16%E -0.201%K -0.244%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 04:25
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV +8.35%E +0.983%K +1.11%G +0.093%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV -1.16%E -0.201%K -0.244%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 04:26
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.76%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +8.35%E +0.983%K +1.11%G +0.093%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.85%EV -1.16%E -0.201%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 04:25
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.00%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV +1.98%E +0.248%K +0.283%G +0.006%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.02%EV -3.22%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.98%E +0.248%K +0.283%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 08:19
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV +0.706%E +0.089%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:56
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV +0.706%E +0.089%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:56
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 70.92%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.81I 12.80%NM 12.26%EV -0.441%E -0.057%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.83%EV -2.19%E -0.385%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 08:16
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.90%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.98%EV -0.569%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV -0.298%E -0.051%K -0.062%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -1.21%E -0.156%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:45
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -1.21%E -0.156%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.63%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.11%EV -1.84%E -0.239%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:19
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 04:26
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:03
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:05
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:05
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.22%E -6.27%K -26.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -2.02%E -0.354%K -0.429%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:00
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:26
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:26
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:26
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.75%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 22:30
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.61%E -2.04%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 04:26
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.72%E -9.30%K -45.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.33%E -2.42%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 08:19
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.50%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -5.67%E -0.766%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 08:10
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.50%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -5.67%E -0.766%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 08:10
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.57%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.22%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:35
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:56
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:40
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:35
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.78%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:34
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.75%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:45
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:55
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:55
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 08:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -12.33%E -2.42%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 04:25
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 04:25
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 04:25
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 04:26
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 04:25
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 04:26
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 04:25
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -10.32%E -8.06%K -36.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.77%E -3.22%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-17 04:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -22.65%E -5.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.59%EV -8.22%E -6.27%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.21%EV -12.04%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:35
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -17.14%E -2.64%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:35
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -17.14%E -2.64%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 01:45
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.14%E -2.64%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.65%EV -8.22%E -6.27%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -20.33%E -3.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 07:36
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-05-17 08:20