A Escola das Odds

AZ Alkmaar v NAC Breda

Início: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Final: AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Local)

Previsão 70.06%1.43odd justa
EV -4.72%
Vantagem -3.47%
Kelly -13.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.98%70.00%70.12%71.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.261.331.331.3679.37%75.43%75.19%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

NAC Breda (Visitante)

Previsão 12.75%7.84odd justa
EV +8.35%
Vantagem +0.983%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.093%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.40%12.78%12.67%14.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.257.317.208.5016.00%13.68%13.89%11.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.19%5.82odd justa
EV -0.298%
Vantagem -0.051%
Kelly -0.062%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.12%17.22%17.21%19.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.325.405.8022.22%18.79%18.52%17.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV +8.35%E +0.983%K +1.11%G +0.093%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV -1.16%E -0.201%K -0.244%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 04:25
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV +8.35%E +0.983%K +1.11%G +0.093%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.94%EV -1.16%E -0.201%K -0.244%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-17 04:26
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.76%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +8.35%E +0.983%K +1.11%G +0.093%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.85%EV -1.16%E -0.201%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 04:25
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.00%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.98%EV +1.98%E +0.248%K +0.283%G +0.006%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.02%EV -3.22%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.98%E +0.248%K +0.283%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 08:19
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV +0.706%E +0.089%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:56
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV +0.706%E +0.089%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:56
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 70.92%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.81I 12.80%NM 12.26%EV -0.441%E -0.057%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.83%EV -2.19%E -0.385%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 08:16
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.90%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.98%EV -0.569%E -0.073%K -0.084%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%EV -0.298%E -0.051%K -0.062%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -1.21%E -0.156%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:45
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -1.21%E -0.156%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.63%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.11%EV -1.84%E -0.239%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:19
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 04:26
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:03
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:05
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:05
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 08:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.22%E -6.27%K -26.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -2.02%E -0.354%K -0.429%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:00
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:26
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:26
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:26
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.75%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 22:30
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -10.61%E -2.04%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 04:26
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.72%E -9.30%K -45.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -4.39%E -0.586%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.33%E -2.42%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 08:19
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.50%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -5.67%E -0.766%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 08:10
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.50%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -5.67%E -0.766%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 08:10
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.57%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.22%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:35
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:56
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:40
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 07:35
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.78%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -7.17%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:34
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.75%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:45
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:55
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:55
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 08:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -12.33%E -2.42%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 04:25
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 04:25
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 04:25
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 04:26
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 04:25
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 04:26
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 04:25
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -10.32%E -8.06%K -36.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.77%E -3.22%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-17 04:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -10.77%E -1.54%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -22.65%E -5.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.59%EV -8.22%E -6.27%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.21%EV -12.04%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:35
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -17.14%E -2.64%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -5.46%E -0.992%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:35
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -17.14%E -2.64%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 01:45
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -17.14%E -2.64%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.05%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.65%EV -8.22%E -6.27%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -20.33%E -3.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -8.89%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 07:36
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.07%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-05-17 08:20