A Escola das Odds

Ajax v PSV Eindhoven

Início: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ajax (Local)

Previsão 39.60%2.53odd justa
EV +2.96%
Vantagem +1.14%
Kelly +1.85%
Crescimento +0.055%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.32%39.60%39.55%41.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.372.402.6046.51%42.19%41.67%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

PSV Eindhoven (Visitante)

Previsão 36.88%2.71odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.57%36.93%36.91%40.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.372.502.502.6342.19%39.96%40.00%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.52%4.25odd justa
EV +1.84%
Vantagem +0.426%
Kelly +0.554%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.41%23.47%23.53%25.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.953.954.3330.30%25.30%25.32%23.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV +2.96%E +1.14%K +1.85%G +0.055%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.27%EV -11.12%E -4.61%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.41%EV +1.84%E +0.426%K +0.554%G +0.010%3.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.30%EV -1.79%E -0.723%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -1.21%E -0.289%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.30%EV -1.79%E -0.723%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -1.21%E -0.289%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.30%EV -1.79%E -0.723%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -1.21%E -0.289%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.67%EV -3.80%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -1.21%E -0.289%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%EV -3.57%E -0.870%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:53
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:51
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:45
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:51
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%EV -3.77%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.57%E -0.870%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%EV -3.77%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.57%E -0.870%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:55
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 39.08%EV -4.57%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -6.33%E -2.49%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:54
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 39.08%EV -4.57%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -6.33%E -2.49%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:49
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:55
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.55%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:49
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.06%EV -7.06%E -2.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.70%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.14%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -8.54%E -3.44%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:55
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.14%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -8.54%E -3.44%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:55
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.36%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.32%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.45%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:55
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.12%EV -7.73%E -3.32%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.51%EV -10.38%E -4.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:55
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.12%EV -7.73%E -3.32%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.51%EV -10.38%E -4.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.12%EV -7.73%E -3.32%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.51%EV -10.38%E -4.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:40
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 17:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -9.71%E -4.26%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.57%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -10.90%E -4.84%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -10.90%E -4.84%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -10.90%E -4.84%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -15.33%E -4.26%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.11%EV -7.56%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 17:44
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:45
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.02%EV -12.59%E -5.31%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.59%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -12.23%E -5.14%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.73%EV -22.38%E -6.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-02 17:51
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.50%EV -14.86%E -6.91%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.59%EV -12.23%E -5.14%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-02 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-02 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.15%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.15%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.00%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55