L’École des cotes

Ajax v PSV Eindhoven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Score final : Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ajax (Local)

Prévision 39.60%2.53cote équitable
EV +2.96%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.055%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.32%39.60%39.55%41.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.402.6046.51%42.19%41.67%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

PSV Eindhoven (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.88%2.71cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.57%36.93%36.91%40.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.502.502.6342.19%39.96%40.00%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.52%4.25cote équitable
EV +1.84%
Avantage +0.426%
Kelly +0.554%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.41%23.47%23.53%25.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.953.954.3330.30%25.30%25.32%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.32%EV +2.96%E +1.14%K +1.85%G +0.055%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.27%EV -11.12%E -4.61%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.41%EV +1.84%E +0.426%K +0.554%G +0.010%3.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.30%EV -1.79%E -0.723%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -1.21%E -0.289%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.30%EV -1.79%E -0.723%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -1.21%E -0.289%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.30%EV -1.79%E -0.723%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -1.21%E -0.289%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.67%EV -3.80%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -1.21%E -0.289%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%EV -3.57%E -0.870%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:53
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -2.98%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:51
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:45
BetAnything2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -5.59%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:51
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%EV -3.77%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -3.57%E -0.870%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.99%EV -3.77%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.57%E -0.870%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:55
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 39.08%EV -4.57%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -6.33%E -2.49%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:54
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 39.08%EV -4.57%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -6.33%E -2.49%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 17:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:49
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:55
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.96%E -2.07%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.55%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:49
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.06%EV -7.06%E -2.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.70%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.14%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -8.54%E -3.44%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:55
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.14%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -8.54%E -3.44%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:55
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.75%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.36%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.32%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Codere (IT)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.45%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:55
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -6.94%E -2.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -7.09%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.12%EV -7.73%E -3.32%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.51%EV -10.38%E -4.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:55
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.12%EV -7.73%E -3.32%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.51%EV -10.38%E -4.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.12%EV -7.73%E -3.32%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.51%EV -10.38%E -4.27%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:40
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.92%E -3.88%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 17:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -9.71%E -4.26%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.57%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -10.90%E -4.84%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -10.90%E -4.84%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -10.90%E -4.84%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -15.33%E -4.26%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -5.96%E -2.34%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.11%EV -7.56%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 17:44
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -8.27%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:45
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.02%EV -12.59%E -5.31%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.59%EV -12.88%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -12.23%E -5.14%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.73%EV -22.38%E -6.78%K -9.73%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-02 17:51
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.50%EV -14.86%E -6.91%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.59%EV -12.23%E -5.14%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.62%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-02 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-02 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.15%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.15%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.00%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%2.6%2026-05-02 17:55