Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ajax v PSV Eindhoven

Inizio: 2026-09-05 18:00 UTC

Finale: Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ajax (Casa)

Previsione 36.42%2.75quota equa
EV +1.98%
Vantaggio +0.706%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.45%36.37%36.48%37.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.572.562.8043.48%38.95%39.06%35.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

PSV Eindhoven (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.03%2.50quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.09%40.05%40.04%41.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.312.302.4246.51%43.31%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.55%4.25quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.258%
Kelly -0.339%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.52%23.58%23.49%24.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.653.923.924.2027.40%25.51%25.51%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ajax (Casa): 36.42%; PSV Eindhoven (Trasferta): 40.03%; Pareggio: 23.55%. Per Ajax (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.75. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.98%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV +1.98%E +0.706%K +1.10%G +0.022%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.90%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.34%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-04 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.155%E +0.056%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.155%E +0.056%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -1.67%E -0.617%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.75%EV -7.13%E -3.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:55
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.03%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.72%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 03:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.27%EV -6.33%E -2.71%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 06:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 13:50
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:30
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -4.22%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -8.74%E -3.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.17%EV -5.13%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.11%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 09:50
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.11%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:54
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.94%E -4.42%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -10.74%E -4.81%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -10.74%E -4.81%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.94%E -6.48%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 18:09
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.66%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.09%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:25
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.66%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.09%EV -3.13%E -1.29%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.67%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.28%EV -3.67%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.67%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.28%EV -3.67%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:14
BetAnything🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.67%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.28%EV -3.67%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:13
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.65%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.09%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:26
BetUS🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.65%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.09%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -6.40%E -2.49%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -7.21%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 08:45
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 05:39
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.55%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 10:20
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 05:25
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 05:28
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -11.94%E -5.43%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -11.94%E -5.43%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -11.94%E -5.43%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -14.04%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:03
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 13:10
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 05:40
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -5.93%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 08:24
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 07:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 07:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 07:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 07:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -8.74%E -3.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.98%EV -10.98%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 07:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.94%E -5.43%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-03 03:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.95%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.19%EV -11.14%E -5.02%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 06:05
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 08:45
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -9.94%E -4.42%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -10.77%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.25%EV -11.94%E -5.43%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 03:10
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.38%EV -16.23%E -7.06%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.99%EV -13.94%E -6.48%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-04 05:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 37.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.98%0.0%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-09-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-09-04 13:45
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.07%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%4.0%2026-09-04 14:35