StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ajax v Heerenveen

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 14:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ajax (Hemma)

Prognos 65.14%1.54rättvist odds
EV -3.59%
Fördel -2.42%
Kelly -7.47%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
63.81%65.07%65.14%66.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.431.441.4873.53%69.84%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Heerenveen (Borta)

Prognos 15.39%6.50rättvist odds
EV +7.90%
Fördel +1.13%
Kelly +1.31%
Tillväxt +0.104%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.01

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.81%15.37%15.35%16.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.306.126.007.0118.87%16.33%16.67%14.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.46%5.14rättvist odds
EV -2.68%
Fördel -0.536%
Kelly -0.669%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.64%19.55%19.51%21.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.694.755.0023.81%21.30%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ajax (Hemma): 65.14%; Heerenveen (Borta): 15.39%; Oavgjort: 19.46%. För Heerenveen (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.50. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.01, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.90%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.31%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.81%EV +7.90%E +1.13%K +1.31%G +0.104%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.88%EV -5.21%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.73%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV -4.62%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.73%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.85%EV -4.62%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.19%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.22%EV +3.90%E +0.577%K +0.678%G +0.026%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.59%EV -4.62%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 14:34
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.049%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 13:18
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.049%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 13:19
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +0.049%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -7.54%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.50%E -5.28%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.049%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -8.52%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.50%E -5.28%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.049%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -8.52%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.50%E -5.28%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +0.049%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.46%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 14:35
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.48%EV -4.24%E -2.88%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.88%EV -0.413%E -0.064%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.64%EV -4.62%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -4.24%E -2.88%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -1.49%E -0.233%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.81%EV -11.44%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 13:14
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -4.24%E -2.88%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -1.49%E -0.233%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.81%EV -11.44%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 13:14
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.70%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 11:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.19%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.57%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 11:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -6.84%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.52%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.46%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 14:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.46%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 14:19
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.46%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.50%E -5.28%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -3.80%E -0.608%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -12.41%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.30%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -6.11%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.30%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -6.11%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:19
BetUS🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.30%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -6.11%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:19
BetAnything🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.30%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -6.11%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.71%EV -6.84%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -6.11%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.46%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 14:34
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.59%E -2.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -6.57%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -4.62%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:35
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.68%E -0.536%K -0.669%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.57%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.57%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 14:19
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -7.54%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.57%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.50%E -5.28%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.54%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 11:14
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 14:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -7.50%E -5.28%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 14:19
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.46%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -8.15%E -5.78%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 14:34
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -8.15%E -5.78%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -18.25%E -4.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -11.40%E -8.39%K -31.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -11.40%E -8.39%K -31.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -7.65%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 14:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.91%EV -10.10%E -7.32%K -26.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -9.19%E -1.56%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.41%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -10.73%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -10.73%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -10.73%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -14.36%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:35
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -6.84%E -4.79%K -15.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.50%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.46%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 11:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.25%EV -10.10%E -7.32%K -26.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.80%EV -12.27%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.54%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -8.15%E -5.78%K -19.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.34%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -4.62%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:29
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.80%E -6.29%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.34%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -7.54%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.44%EV -9.45%E -6.80%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -18.42%E -3.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -6.57%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 14:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-16 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.43%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-08-16 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.43%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-08-16 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.43%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-08-16 14:35
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.86%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81%1.0%2026-08-16 14:40
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.58%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.5%2026-08-16 14:40