语言:简体中文
Toluca v Necaxa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Toluca (主队)
预测 63.70%1.57公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.813%
Kelly -2.29%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.55
博彩公司预测分布
60.68%63.63%63.82%65.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.451.441.5572.99%68.87%69.44%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Necaxa (客队)
预测 15.83%6.32公平赔率
EV +9.20%
优势 +1.33%
Kelly +1.56%
增长率 +0.143%
假设最高赔率为 6.90
博彩公司预测分布
13.56%15.82%15.77%17.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.856.006.9020.00%17.10%16.67%14.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.47%4.88公平赔率
EV -1.33%
优势 -0.276%
Kelly -0.348%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.82
博彩公司预测分布
19.73%20.56%20.41%21.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.434.404.8225.00%22.56%22.73%20.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toluca (主队)：63.70%；Necaxa (客队)：15.83%；平局：20.47%。 对于“Necaxa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.32。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.90，对应+9.20%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV +9.20%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.143% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.90%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV +9.20%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.143% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.90%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +2.87%E +0.442%K +0.522%G +0.015% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.66%EV +2.08%E +0.322%K +0.381%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.04%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.06%EV -2.67%E -0.434%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.80%EV -3.30%E -0.540%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%EV -2.56%E -0.537%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -3.46%E -0.567%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -3.46%E -0.567%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -3.46%E -0.567%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.33%E -0.276%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.33%E -0.276%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.79%E -0.805%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -10.18%E -7.22%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -11.97%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -6.63%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -12.09%E -8.76%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -8.21%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.77%EV -3.17%E -2.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.54%EV -8.68%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.70%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.00%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -9.79%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -1.26%E -0.813%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.17%EV -11.53%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -6.04%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 00:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -11.97%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.95%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.82%E -7.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.82%E -7.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -14.54%E -2.69%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.30%EV -12.73%E -9.29%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.06%EV -14.54%E -2.69%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.46%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-03 00:43 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.97% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 16.01% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02% | -0.1% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |