Langue:Français
Toluca v Necaxa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toluca (Local)
Prévision 63.70%1.57cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.813%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.68%63.63%63.82%65.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.371.451.441.5572.99%68.87%69.44%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Necaxa (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.83%6.32cote équitable
EV +9.20%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.56%
Croissance +0.143%
avec la cote maximale 6.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.56%15.82%15.77%17.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.856.006.9020.00%17.10%16.67%14.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.47%4.88cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.276%
Kelly -0.348%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.73%20.56%20.41%21.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.434.404.8225.00%22.56%22.73%20.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toluca (Local) : 63.70% ; Necaxa (Visiteur) : 15.83% ; Match nul : 20.47%. Pour Necaxa (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.32. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.90, soit une espérance positive de +9.20%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV +9.20%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.143% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.90%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV +9.20%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.143% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.90%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +2.87%E +0.442%K +0.522%G +0.015% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.66%EV +2.08%E +0.322%K +0.381%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.04%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.06%EV -2.67%E -0.434%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.80%EV -3.30%E -0.540%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%EV -2.56%E -0.537%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -3.46%E -0.567%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -3.46%E -0.567%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -3.46%E -0.567%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.33%E -0.276%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.33%E -0.276%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.79%E -0.805%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -10.18%E -7.22%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -11.97%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -6.63%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -12.09%E -8.76%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -8.21%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.77%EV -3.17%E -2.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.54%EV -8.68%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.70%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.00%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -9.79%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -1.26%E -0.813%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.17%EV -11.53%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -6.04%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 00:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -11.97%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.95%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.82%E -7.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.82%E -7.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -14.54%E -2.69%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.30%EV -12.73%E -9.29%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.06%EV -14.54%E -2.69%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.46%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-03 00:43 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.97% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 16.01% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02% | -0.1% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |