Język:Polski
Toluca v Necaxa
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Toluca (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 63.70%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -1.26%
Przewaga -0.813%
Kelly -2.29%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.55
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.68%63.63%63.82%65.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.371.451.441.5572.99%68.87%69.44%64.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Necaxa (Goście)
Prognoza 15.83%6.32kurs godziwy
EV +9.20%
Przewaga +1.33%
Kelly +1.56%
Wzrost +0.143%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.90
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.56%15.82%15.77%17.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.856.006.9020.00%17.10%16.67%14.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 20.47%4.88kurs godziwy
EV -1.33%
Przewaga -0.276%
Kelly -0.348%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.82
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.73%20.56%20.41%21.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.434.404.8225.00%22.56%22.73%20.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Toluca (Gospodarze): 63.70%; Necaxa (Goście): 15.83%; Remis: 20.47%. Dla wyniku Necaxa (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.32. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.90, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +9.20%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV +9.20%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.143% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.90%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV +9.20%E +1.33%K +1.56%G +0.143% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -8.90%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +2.87%E +0.442%K +0.522%G +0.015% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.33%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.66%EV +2.08%E +0.322%K +0.381%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.04%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.20%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.06%EV -2.67%E -0.434%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.80%EV -3.30%E -0.540%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%EV -2.56%E -0.537%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -3.46%E -0.567%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -3.46%E -0.567%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -9.54%E -6.72%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -3.46%E -0.567%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.33%E -0.276%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -3.81%E -2.52%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.33%E -0.276%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -3.79%E -0.805%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -2.76%E -0.582%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -10.18%E -7.22%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -5.04%E -0.840%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -11.97%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -6.63%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -12.09%E -8.76%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -8.21%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.77%EV -3.17%E -2.09%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.54%EV -8.68%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.70%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.00%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -9.79%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -1.26%E -0.813%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.17%EV -11.53%E -2.06%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -6.04%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.72%E -3.86%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -5.83%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 00:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -4.45%E -2.96%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -11.97%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -7.63%E -5.26%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.95%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.82%E -7.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.82%E -7.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.93%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -6.36%E -4.32%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -14.54%E -2.69%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.30%EV -12.73%E -9.29%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.06%EV -14.54%E -2.69%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-03 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.46%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -10.95%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-03 00:43 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.02%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-03 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.27%E -5.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.12%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.97% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 16.01% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02% | -0.1% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-08-03 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.9% | 2026-08-03 00:55 |