La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Toluca v FC Juárez
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Toluca (Casa)
Previsione 62.38%1.60quota equa
EV -3.93%
Vantaggio -2.55%
Kelly -7.29%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.54%62.65%62.39%67.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.441.441.5476.92%69.24%69.44%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
FC Juárez (Trasferta)
Previsione 15.93%6.28quota equa
EV +19.45%
Vantaggio +2.59%
Kelly +2.99%
Crescita +0.582%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.04%15.67%15.91%17.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.236.007.5020.00%16.05%16.67%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 21.69%4.61quota equa
EV +3.04%
Vantaggio +0.640%
Kelly +0.811%
Crescita +0.025%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.87%21.68%21.70%23.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.284.304.7527.78%23.35%23.26%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -12.67%E -9.05%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.04%E +0.640%K +0.811%G +0.025% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -12.67%E -9.05%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.04%E +0.640%K +0.811%G +0.025% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -15.16%E -11.15%K -42.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -15.16%E -11.15%K -42.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 22:45 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -15.16%E -11.15%K -42.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -16.41%E -12.25%K -48.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -16.41%E -12.25%K -48.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -17.03%E -12.81%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.76%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +11.49%E +1.64%K +1.91%G +0.220% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.51%EV -18.91%E -14.54%K -63.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV +11.49%E +1.64%K +1.91%G +0.220% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -5.81%E -3.84%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.71%EV +4.48%E +0.683%K +0.806%G +0.036% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.39%EV -2.17%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.43%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 15.00%EV +2.09%E +0.326%K +0.387%G +0.008% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.57%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV -3.64%E -0.602%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| GTbets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.65%EV -3.96%E -0.657%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.26%EV -8.02%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.62%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.58%EV -5.23%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -7.05%E -4.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.67%E -9.05%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -17.57%E -4.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -17.57%E -4.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -17.57%E -4.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -17.57%E -4.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -12.67%E -9.05%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -21.91%E -6.09%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.79%EV -13.29%E -9.56%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -13.99%E -2.59%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.31%EV -16.48%E -4.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -15.59%E -2.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.38%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.38%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -10.80%E -7.55%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.71%EV -16.38%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |