L’École des cotesToluca v FC Juárez
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toluca (Local)
Prévision 62.38%1.60cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -7.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.54%62.65%62.39%67.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.441.441.5476.92%69.24%69.44%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Juárez (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.93%6.28cote équitable
EV +19.45%
Avantage +2.59%
Kelly +2.99%
Croissance +0.582%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.04%15.67%15.91%17.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.236.007.5020.00%16.05%16.67%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.69%4.61cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.640%
Kelly +0.811%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.87%21.68%21.70%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.284.304.7527.78%23.35%23.26%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -12.67%E -9.05%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.04%E +0.640%K +0.811%G +0.025% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -12.67%E -9.05%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.04%E +0.640%K +0.811%G +0.025% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -13.92%E -10.08%K -36.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.96%E +0.416%K +0.529%G +0.010% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -15.16%E -11.15%K -42.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -15.16%E -11.15%K -42.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 22:45 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -15.16%E -11.15%K -42.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -16.41%E -12.25%K -48.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.73%EV -16.41%E -12.25%K -48.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -17.03%E -12.81%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +19.45%E +2.59%K +2.99%G +0.582% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.76%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +11.49%E +1.64%K +1.91%G +0.220% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.51%EV -18.91%E -14.54%K -63.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV +11.49%E +1.64%K +1.91%G +0.220% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.90%EV -5.81%E -3.84%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.71%EV +4.48%E +0.683%K +0.806%G +0.036% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.39%EV -2.17%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.43%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 15.00%EV +2.09%E +0.326%K +0.387%G +0.008% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.57%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.93%E -2.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.53%EV -3.64%E -0.602%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| GTbets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.65%EV -3.96%E -0.657%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.26%EV -8.02%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.62%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.58%EV -5.23%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.80%EV -7.05%E -4.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 22:58 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.67%E -9.05%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -17.57%E -4.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -17.57%E -4.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -17.57%E -4.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -17.57%E -4.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.85%EV -12.67%E -9.05%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.49%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.66%EV -21.91%E -6.09%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.79%EV -13.29%E -9.56%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -13.99%E -2.59%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.31%EV -16.48%E -4.28%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -15.59%E -2.94%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.38%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -16.38%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -10.80%E -7.55%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.71%EV -16.38%E -3.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |