语言:简体中文
Toluca v FC Juárez
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Toluca (主队)
预测 70.22%1.42公平赔率
EV -3.10%
优势 -2.24%
Kelly -8.15%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.38
博彩公司预测分布
67.31%70.25%70.30%73.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.301.301.3884.03%76.76%76.92%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Juárez (客队)
预测 11.77%8.50公平赔率
EV +11.82%
优势 +1.24%
Kelly +1.39%
增长率 +0.164%
假设最高赔率为 9.50
博彩公司预测分布
9.88%11.70%11.68%12.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.068.009.5014.29%12.40%12.50%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 18.01%5.55公平赔率
EV +1.03%
优势 +0.184%
Kelly +0.223%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 5.61
博彩公司预测分布
16.71%18.05%18.01%20.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.125.205.6122.22%19.52%19.23%17.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toluca (主队)：70.22%；FC Juárez (客队)：11.77%；平局：18.01%。 对于“FC Juárez (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.50。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.50，对应+11.82%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.12%E -7.90%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +11.82%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.164% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV +0.850%E +0.152%K +0.185%G +0.002% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.12%E -7.90%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +11.82%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.164% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV +0.850%E +0.152%K +0.185%G +0.002% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.08%EV -12.22%E -9.78%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.99%EV -12.93%E -10.42%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -8.15%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.63%E -11.08%K -59.25%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.63%E -11.08%K -59.25%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV -2.31%E -0.278%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -18.06%E -3.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV -2.31%E -0.278%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -18.06%E -3.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -7.31%E -5.54%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.36%EV -2.89%E -0.351%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -4.55%E -0.859%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.22%EV -4.50%E -3.31%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.22I 12.17%NM 11.62%EV -3.25%E -0.395%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.16%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.70%EV -3.10%E -2.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.80%EV -4.07%E -0.499%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -8.01%E -6.12%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -10.12%E -7.90%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.01%E -6.12%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.42%E -7.30%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.22%E -9.78%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -16.44%E -13.81%K -86.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -3.80%E -2.77%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.23%EV -7.01%E -0.888%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.23%EV +1.03%E +0.184%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -3.80%E -2.77%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.23%EV -7.01%E -0.888%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.23%EV +1.03%E +0.184%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.37%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -8.78%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -4.50%E -3.31%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -8.78%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -9.37%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -9.05%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.32%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.29%EV -11.02%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.39%EV -9.05%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.42%E -7.30%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.42%E -7.30%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.30%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.63%EV -14.08%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.15%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.96%E -4.21%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.56%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.16%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -13.56%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.98% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.84% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.20% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.72% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.53% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.29% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |