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Toluca v FC Juárez
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Toluca (Хозяева)
Прогноз 70.22%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.10%
Преимущество -2.24%
Kelly -8.15%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.31%70.25%70.30%73.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.191.301.301.3884.03%76.76%76.92%72.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
FC Juárez (Гости)
Прогноз 11.77%8.50справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.82%
Преимущество +1.24%
Kelly +1.39%
Рост +0.164%
при максимальном коэффициенте 9.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.88%11.70%11.68%12.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.008.068.009.5014.29%12.40%12.50%10.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 18.01%5.55справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.03%
Преимущество +0.184%
Kelly +0.223%
Рост +0.002%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.61
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.71%18.05%18.01%20.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.125.205.6122.22%19.52%19.23%17.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Toluca (Хозяева): 70.22%; FC Juárez (Гости): 11.77%; Ничья: 18.01%. Для исхода «FC Juárez (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.50. 16 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 9.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +11.82%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.12%E -7.90%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +11.82%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.164% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV +0.850%E +0.152%K +0.185%G +0.002% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.12%E -7.90%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +11.82%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.164% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV +0.850%E +0.152%K +0.185%G +0.002% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.08%EV -12.22%E -9.78%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.99%EV -12.93%E -10.42%K -53.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -8.15%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.63%E -11.08%K -59.25%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.63%E -11.08%K -59.25%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV -2.31%E -0.278%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -18.06%E -3.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV -2.31%E -0.278%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -18.06%E -3.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -7.31%E -5.54%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.36%EV -2.89%E -0.351%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -4.55%E -0.859%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.22%EV -4.50%E -3.31%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.22I 12.17%NM 11.62%EV -3.25%E -0.395%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.16%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.70%EV -3.10%E -2.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.80%EV -4.07%E -0.499%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -8.01%E -6.12%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -10.12%E -7.90%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.01%E -6.12%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.42%E -7.30%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.22%E -9.78%K -48.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -16.44%E -13.81%K -86.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -3.80%E -2.77%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.23%EV -7.01%E -0.888%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.23%EV +1.03%E +0.184%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -3.80%E -2.77%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.23%EV -7.01%E -0.888%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.23%EV +1.03%E +0.184%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.37%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -8.78%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -4.50%E -3.31%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -8.78%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -9.37%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -9.05%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.32%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.29%EV -11.02%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.39%EV -9.05%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.42%E -7.30%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.42%E -7.30%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.30%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.63%EV -14.08%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.15%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.96%E -4.21%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.56%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.16%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -13.56%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.98% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.63% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.84% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.20% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.72% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.53% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.29% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |