StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca v FC Juárez

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 00:02 UTC

Endstand: Toluca 4–0 FC Juárez

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca (Heim)

Prognose 70.22%1.42faire Quote
EV -3.10%
Vorteil -2.24%
Kelly -8.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.31%70.25%70.30%73.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.191.301.301.3884.03%76.76%76.92%72.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

FC Juárez (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.77%8.50faire Quote
EV +11.82%
Vorteil +1.24%
Kelly +1.39%
Wachstum +0.164%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.88%11.70%11.68%12.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.068.009.5014.29%12.40%12.50%10.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 18.01%5.55faire Quote
EV +1.03%
Vorteil +0.184%
Kelly +0.223%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.71%18.05%18.01%20.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.125.205.6122.22%19.52%19.23%17.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Toluca (Heim): 70.22%; FC Juárez (Auswärts): 11.77%; Unentschieden: 18.01%. Für FC Juárez (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.50. 16 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.82%.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.12%E -7.90%K -36.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +11.82%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.164%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV +0.850%E +0.152%K +0.185%G +0.002%6.5%2026-08-30 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.12%E -7.90%K -36.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +11.82%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.164%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV +0.850%E +0.152%K +0.185%G +0.002%6.5%2026-08-30 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.60%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 23:34
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 23:35
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 00:00
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +5.93%E +0.659%K +0.742%G +0.044%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 23:59
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.08%EV -12.22%E -9.78%K -48.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.99%EV -12.93%E -10.42%K -53.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -8.15%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.63%E -11.08%K -59.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.63%E -11.08%K -59.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +0.049%E +0.006%K +0.006%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV -2.31%E -0.278%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -18.06%E -3.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 00:00
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV -2.31%E -0.278%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -18.06%E -3.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -7.31%E -5.54%K -22.84%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.36%EV -2.89%E -0.351%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -4.55%E -0.859%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.22%EV -4.50%E -3.31%K -12.50%G +0.000%8.22I 12.17%NM 11.62%EV -3.25%E -0.395%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.16%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 23:50
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.70%EV -3.10%E -2.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.80%EV -4.07%E -0.499%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -8.01%E -6.12%K -25.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -10.12%E -7.90%K -36.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -0.951%E -0.173%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.01%E -6.12%K -25.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 23:59
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.42%E -7.30%K -32.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -6.35%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.22%E -9.78%K -48.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 23:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -16.44%E -13.81%K -86.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV -5.84%E -0.730%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-30 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -3.80%E -2.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.23%EV -7.01%E -0.888%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.23%EV +1.03%E +0.184%K +0.223%G +0.002%3.5%2026-08-30 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -3.80%E -2.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.23%EV -7.01%E -0.888%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.23%EV +1.03%E +0.184%K +0.223%G +0.002%3.5%2026-08-30 23:29
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.37%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -8.78%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -2.75%E -0.510%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -4.50%E -3.31%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -8.78%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -9.37%E -1.22%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -9.05%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 23:55
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.32%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000%7.56I 13.23%NM 12.29%EV -11.02%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.39%EV -9.05%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 23:59
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.45%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.90%E -4.41%K -17.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 00:00
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.42%E -7.30%K -32.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.42%E -7.30%K -32.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -11.72%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.30%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.63%EV -14.08%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.15%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 00:00
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -6.61%E -4.97%K -20.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.96%E -4.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 23:59
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.56%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 23:45
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 23:59
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -8.71%E -6.70%K -29.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -17.16%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 23:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.16%EV -10.82%E -8.52%K -40.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -17.61%E -2.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -13.56%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 00:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.98%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.63%0.2%2026-08-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-31 00:00
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.84%1.0%2026-08-30 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.20%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.05%1.1%2026-08-31 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.72%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.1%2026-08-31 00:00
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.19%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.53%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.29%3.3%2026-08-31 00:00