Language:English
Toluca v Atlético San Luis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toluca (Local)
Prediction 59.92%1.67fair odd
EV +19.83%
Edge +9.92%
Kelly +19.83%
Growth +3.93%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%59.93%60.03%61.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.541.542.0071.94%64.73%64.94%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético San Luis (Visit)
Prediction 18.04%5.54fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.242%
Kelly +0.294%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.25%17.96%17.99%19.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.095.055.6221.74%19.65%19.80%17.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.05%4.54fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -0.880%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.16%22.11%21.98%37.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.354.084.154.4042.55%24.50%24.10%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toluca (Local): 59.92%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 18.04%; Draw: 22.05%. For Toluca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.01%EV +19.83%E +9.92%K +19.83%G +3.93% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -14.33%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.46%EV -48.19%E -20.51%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.55%EV -2.93%E -1.81%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.96%EV -3.15%E -0.587%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.49%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -3.53%E -2.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -2.99%E -0.680%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -3.53%E -2.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -2.99%E -0.680%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -4.13%E -2.58%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.30%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -4.13%E -2.58%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.30%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.63%EV -5.33%E -3.37%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.04%EV +1.36%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.33%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.20%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.53%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 00:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-13 00:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.14%EV +0.095%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -4.09%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 00:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.13%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.53%EV -3.51%E -0.656%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.50%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.50%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -7.73%E -5.02%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -0.807%E -0.147%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.09%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.73%E -5.02%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.73%E -5.02%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 17.82%EV -6.04%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.49%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.30%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.12%EV -8.92%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -8.50%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -14.33%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-13 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-13 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-13 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-13 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -8.93%E -5.87%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -9.52%E -6.31%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +0.997%E +0.178%K +0.217%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.20%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -0.807%E -0.147%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.20%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 00:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-13 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.01%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 00:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.42%EV -11.32%E -7.65%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.91%E -3.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.42%EV -11.32%E -7.65%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.91%E -3.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.83%EV -11.92%E -8.11%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -15.24%E -3.24%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.41%EV -13.12%E -9.05%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.70%EV -10.73%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-13 00:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.84%EV -13.72%E -9.53%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.63%EV -10.71%E -2.64%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.84%EV -13.72%E -9.53%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -22.83%E -6.52%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-13 00:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.95%EV -16.71%E -12.03%K -42.86%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.25%EV -4.41%E -0.833%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.80%EV -12.91%E -3.27%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-13 00:52 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.77% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69% | 2.5% | 2026-04-13 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.32% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.13% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |