La scuola delle quote

Toluca v Atlético San Luis

Inizio: 2026-04-13 01:00 UTC

Finale: Toluca 1–1 Atlético San Luis

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Toluca (Casa)

Previsione 59.92%1.67quota equa
EV +19.83%
Vantaggio +9.92%
Kelly +19.83%
Crescita +3.93%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.01%59.93%60.03%61.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.541.542.0071.94%64.73%64.94%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético San Luis (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.04%5.54quota equa
EV +1.36%
Vantaggio +0.242%
Kelly +0.294%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.25%17.96%17.99%19.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.095.055.6221.74%19.65%19.80%17.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.05%4.54quota equa
EV -2.99%
Vantaggio -0.680%
Kelly -0.880%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.16%22.11%21.98%37.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.354.084.154.4042.55%24.50%24.10%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 44.01%EV +19.83%E +9.92%K +19.83%G +3.93%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -14.33%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.46%EV -48.19%E -20.51%K -35.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-13 00:49
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.55%EV -2.93%E -1.81%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.96%EV -3.15%E -0.587%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.49%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:45
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -3.53%E -2.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -2.99%E -0.680%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:35
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -3.53%E -2.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -2.99%E -0.680%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:35
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -4.13%E -2.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.30%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:29
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -4.13%E -2.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.30%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:30
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.63%EV -5.33%E -3.37%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.04%EV +1.36%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.33%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:54
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.20%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:49
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.53%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 00:28
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 00:29
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 00:35
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.14%EV +0.095%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -4.09%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:44
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.13%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.53%EV -3.51%E -0.656%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 00:50
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 00:29
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 00:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.50%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 00:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.50%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 00:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 00:49
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 00:50
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -7.73%E -5.02%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -0.807%E -0.147%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.09%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.73%E -5.02%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.73%E -5.02%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 00:30
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.82%EV -6.04%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.49%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 00:25
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.30%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 00:50
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.12%EV -8.92%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -8.50%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 00:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -14.33%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-13 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-13 00:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-13 00:24
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-13 00:45
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-13 00:49
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-13 00:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-13 00:50
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -8.93%E -5.87%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 00:30
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -9.52%E -6.31%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +0.997%E +0.178%K +0.217%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.20%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 00:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -0.807%E -0.147%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 00:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.20%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 00:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-13 00:24
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.01%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 00:54
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 59.42%EV -11.32%E -7.65%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.91%E -3.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 00:30
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.42%EV -11.32%E -7.65%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.91%E -3.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.83%EV -11.92%E -8.11%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -15.24%E -3.24%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.41%EV -13.12%E -9.05%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.70%EV -10.73%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-13 00:47
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.84%EV -13.72%E -9.53%K -31.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.63%EV -10.71%E -2.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-13 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.84%EV -13.72%E -9.53%K -31.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -22.83%E -6.52%K -9.13%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-13 00:54
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 61.95%EV -16.71%E -12.03%K -42.86%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.25%EV -4.41%E -0.833%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.80%EV -12.91%E -3.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-13 00:52
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-04-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-04-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-04-13 00:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-04-13 00:55
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.77%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%2.5%2026-04-13 00:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.32%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.13%3.9%2026-04-13 00:30