L’École des cotes

Toluca v Atlético San Luis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 01:00 UTC

Score final : Toluca 1–1 Atlético San Luis

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toluca (Local)

Prévision 59.92%1.67cote équitable
EV +19.83%
Avantage +9.92%
Kelly +19.83%
Croissance +3.93%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.01%59.93%60.03%61.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.541.542.0071.94%64.73%64.94%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético San Luis (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.04%5.54cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.242%
Kelly +0.294%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.25%17.96%17.99%19.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.095.055.6221.74%19.65%19.80%17.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.05%4.54cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.680%
Kelly -0.880%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.16%22.11%21.98%37.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.354.084.154.4042.55%24.50%24.10%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 44.01%EV +19.83%E +9.92%K +19.83%G +3.93%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -14.33%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.46%EV -48.19%E -20.51%K -35.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-13 00:49
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.55%EV -2.93%E -1.81%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.96%EV -3.15%E -0.587%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.49%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:45
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -3.53%E -2.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -2.99%E -0.680%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:35
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -3.53%E -2.19%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -2.99%E -0.680%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 00:35
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -4.13%E -2.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.30%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:29
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.38%EV -4.13%E -2.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.27%EV -6.22%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.30%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:30
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.63%EV -5.33%E -3.37%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.04%EV +1.36%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.33%EV -5.42%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:54
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.20%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 00:49
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.53%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 00:28
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 00:29
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.93%E -3.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 00:35
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.14%EV +0.095%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -4.09%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:44
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.13%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.53%EV -3.51%E -0.656%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 00:50
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 00:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -8.02%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 00:29
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -6.53%E -4.19%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 00:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.50%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 00:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.61%E -0.483%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.50%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 00:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 00:49
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 00:50
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.13%E -4.60%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -7.73%E -5.02%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -0.807%E -0.147%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.09%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.73%E -5.02%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.73%E -5.02%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 00:30
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.82%EV -6.04%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.49%EV -4.75%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 00:25
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -5.32%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.30%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 00:50
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.12%EV -8.92%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -8.50%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 00:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -14.33%E -3.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-13 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-13 00:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.04%E -3.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-13 00:24
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-13 00:45
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-13 00:49
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-13 00:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.33%E -5.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.22%E -4.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-13 00:50
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -8.93%E -5.87%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -11.63%E -2.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 00:30
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -9.52%E -6.31%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +0.997%E +0.178%K +0.217%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.20%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 00:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -0.807%E -0.147%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.40%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 00:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.20%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 00:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-13 00:24
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.12%E -6.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.01%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 00:54
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 59.42%EV -11.32%E -7.65%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.91%E -3.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 00:30
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.42%EV -11.32%E -7.65%K -23.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.43%E -2.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.91%E -3.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.83%EV -11.92%E -8.11%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -15.24%E -3.24%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.60%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-13 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.41%EV -13.12%E -9.05%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.70%EV -10.73%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.81%E -2.95%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-13 00:47
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.84%EV -13.72%E -9.53%K -31.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.63%EV -10.71%E -2.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-13 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.84%EV -13.72%E -9.53%K -31.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -9.82%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -22.83%E -6.52%K -9.13%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-13 00:54
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 61.95%EV -16.71%E -12.03%K -42.86%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.25%EV -4.41%E -0.833%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.80%EV -12.91%E -3.27%K -4.38%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-13 00:52
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-04-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-04-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-04-13 00:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-04-13 00:55
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.77%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%2.5%2026-04-13 00:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.32%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.13%3.9%2026-04-13 00:30