Language:English
Tijuana v Tigres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tijuana (Local)
Prediction 22.46%4.45fair odd
EV +7.82%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +2.06%
Growth +0.161%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.01%22.48%22.45%23.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.084.004.8026.67%24.53%25.00%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tigres (Visit)
Prediction 51.52%1.94fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.50%51.52%51.49%53.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.801.8859.88%56.01%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -0.880%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.01%26.06%27.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.553.7530.30%28.38%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tijuana (Local): 22.46%; Tigres (Visit): 51.52%; Draw: 26.02%. For Tijuana (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +7.82%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.161% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.67%EV -7.79%E -4.35%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 03:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.11%EV +2.88%E +0.629%K +0.805%G +0.023% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.11%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 02:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.11%EV +2.88%E +0.629%K +0.805%G +0.023% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.11%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 02:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.16%E -0.264%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.82%E -4.98%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -1.84%E -0.420%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.73%E -0.631%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.82%E -4.98%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 03:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.37%EV -3.86%E -0.901%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.19%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.44%EV -5.80%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -3.15%E -1.68%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -7.79%E -4.35%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 03:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -8.82%E -4.98%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -6.76%E -3.73%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 02:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 03:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 03:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 03:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -9.33%E -5.30%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -9.33%E -5.30%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.58%EV -12.42%E -7.31%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.94%EV -12.05%E -3.56%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.59%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.46%EV -12.94%E -7.66%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-04 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.36%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.55%EV -13.97%E -8.36%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-04 03:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.39%E -6.62%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.39%E -6.62%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -11.39%E -6.62%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 02:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 03:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43% | 2.2% | 2026-04-04 03:00 |