L’École des cotes

Tijuana v Tigres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 03:08 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tijuana (Local)

Prévision 22.46%4.45cote équitable
EV +7.82%
Avantage +1.63%
Kelly +2.06%
Croissance +0.161%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.01%22.48%22.45%23.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.084.004.8026.67%24.53%25.00%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tigres (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.52%1.94cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.50%51.52%51.49%53.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.801.8859.88%56.01%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.02%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.646%
Kelly -0.880%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%26.01%26.06%27.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.523.553.7530.30%28.38%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +7.82%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.161%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.67%EV -7.79%E -4.35%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 03:04
LowVig.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.11%EV +2.88%E +0.629%K +0.805%G +0.023%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.11%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 02:29
BetOnline.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.11%EV +2.88%E +0.629%K +0.805%G +0.023%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.11%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 02:30
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.16%E -0.264%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.82%E -4.98%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 02:49
Pinnacle4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -1.84%E -0.420%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 03:00
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.73%E -0.631%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 02:49
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.82%E -4.98%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 03:05
GTbets4.28I 23.36%NM 22.37%EV -3.86%E -0.901%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.19%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.44%EV -5.80%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 01:30
Coolbet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -3.15%E -1.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:04
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 02:50
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -7.79%E -4.35%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 02:59
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 02:50
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 03:00
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 03:00
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 02:49
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 02:49
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 02:50
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 03:05
Fliff4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -8.82%E -4.98%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:49
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:49
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:50
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:49
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:50
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:49
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -6.76%E -3.73%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 02:49
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:59
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 02:49
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 02:49
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 02:49
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 03:04
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 03:05
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 03:04
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 03:04
DraftKings3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:05
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -9.33%E -5.30%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 02:50
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 02:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 02:50
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -9.33%E -5.30%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 02:50
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 02:49
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.58%EV -12.42%E -7.31%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.94%EV -12.05%E -3.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 02:49
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.59%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.46%EV -12.94%E -7.66%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 02:49
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.36%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.55%EV -13.97%E -8.36%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-04 03:04
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 02:50
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.39%E -6.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 02:50
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.39%E -6.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 02:50
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -11.39%E -6.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 02:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-04 03:05
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43%2.2%2026-04-04 03:00