La escuela de los momios

Tijuana v Tigres

Inicio: 2026-04-04 03:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tijuana (Local)

Predicción 22.46%4.45momio equitativo
EV +7.82%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.161%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.01%22.48%22.45%23.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.084.004.8026.67%24.53%25.00%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tigres (Visitante)

Predicción 51.52%1.94momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -3.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.50%51.52%51.49%53.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.791.801.8859.88%56.01%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.02%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -0.880%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.01%26.06%27.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.523.553.7530.30%28.38%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +7.82%E +1.63%K +2.06%G +0.161%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.67%EV -7.79%E -4.35%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 03:04
LowVig.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.11%EV +2.88%E +0.629%K +0.805%G +0.023%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.11%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 02:29
BetOnline.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.11%EV +2.88%E +0.629%K +0.805%G +0.023%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.11%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 02:30
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.16%E -0.264%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.82%E -4.98%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 02:49
Pinnacle4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -1.84%E -0.420%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 03:00
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.73%E -0.631%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 02:49
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.82%E -4.98%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 03:05
GTbets4.28I 23.36%NM 22.37%EV -3.86%E -0.901%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.19%EV -3.67%E -1.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.44%EV -5.80%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 01:30
Coolbet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.52%EV -3.15%E -1.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:04
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 02:50
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -7.79%E -4.35%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 02:59
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 02:50
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 03:00
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 03:00
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 02:49
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.70%E -2.54%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 02:49
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 02:50
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 03:05
Fliff4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -8.82%E -4.98%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 03:00
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:49
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:49
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:50
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:49
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:50
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 02:49
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -6.76%E -3.73%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 02:49
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -6.24%E -3.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 02:59
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 02:49
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -7.27%E -4.04%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 02:49
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 02:49
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 03:04
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 03:05
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 03:04
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.88%E -6.29%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 03:04
DraftKings3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -5.73%E -3.13%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -2.42%E -0.646%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:05
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -9.33%E -5.30%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 02:50
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 02:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -8.30%E -4.66%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 02:50
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -9.33%E -5.30%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 02:50
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 02:49
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.58%EV -12.42%E -7.31%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.94%EV -12.05%E -3.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 02:49
Unibet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.59%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.46%EV -12.94%E -7.66%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 02:49
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.36%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.55%EV -13.97%E -8.36%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-04 03:04
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.85%E -5.63%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 02:50
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.39%E -6.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 02:50
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.39%E -6.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 02:50
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.09%EV -11.39%E -6.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 02:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-04 03:05
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-04 03:00
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-04 03:00
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43%2.2%2026-04-04 03:00