The School of Odds

Tijuana v Tigres

2026-07-17 03:00 — Liga MX

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Option 1: Tijuana (Local)

Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.1631.63%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.3030.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.23%3.542Min
29.03%3.445Max
28.48%3.512Mean
28.55%3.503Median
28.55%3.503IQM
28.48%3.512Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 28.55%

EV -5.79%Edge -1.75%Kelly -2.52%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tigres (Visit)

Odds
2.0050.00%Min
2.1147.49%Mean
2.1047.62%Median
2.2045.45%Max
Consensus probabilities
42.06%2.377Min
44.37%2.254Max
43.15%2.318Mean
43.11%2.320Median
43.11%2.320IQM
43.25%2.312Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 43.11%

EV -5.16%Edge -2.35%Kelly -4.30%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.2031.29%Mean
3.2530.77%Median
3.4528.99%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.11%3.689Min
29.44%3.396Max
28.38%3.524Mean
28.34%3.528Median
28.34%3.528IQM
28.27%3.537Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.45 under the IQM model: 28.34%

EV -2.21%Edge -0.641%Kelly -0.903%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTijuana (Local) ▼Tigres (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics3.30I 30.30% NM 28.57%EV -5.79% E -1.75% K -2.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.16% E -2.35% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.57%EV -6.46% E -1.96% K -2.81% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 17:30
FanDuel3.30I 30.30% NM 28.23%EV -5.79% E -1.75% K -2.52% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.37%EV -9.47% E -4.51% K -8.61% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.40%EV -3.63% E -1.07% K -1.51% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 13:53
SportsBet3.25I 30.77% NM 28.78%EV -7.22% E -2.22% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.12%EV -8.61% E -4.06% K -7.69% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.11%EV -2.21% E -0.641% K -0.903% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 14:50
1xBet3.25I 30.77% NM 28.66%EV -7.22% E -2.22% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 43.12%EV -6.89% E -3.19% K -5.94% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.22%EV -6.46% E -1.96% K -2.81% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:35
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86% NM 28.61%EV -7.50% E -2.32% K -3.35% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 43.31%EV -7.75% E -3.62% K -6.80% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.09%EV -6.46% E -1.96% K -2.81% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 18:34
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26% NM 29.03%EV -11.50% E -3.71% K -5.48% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.85%EV -9.47% E -4.51% K -8.61% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.12%EV -9.30% E -2.91% K -4.23% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 16:20
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26% NM 28.97%EV -11.50% E -3.71% K -5.48% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 43.81%EV -11.63% E -5.67% K -11.08% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.22%EV -6.46% E -1.96% K -2.81% G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 14:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26% NM 28.49%EV -11.50% E -3.71% K -5.48% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.06%EV -9.47% E -4.51% K -8.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.44%EV -14.97% E -4.99% K -7.48% G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-05 15:39
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26% NM 28.49%EV -11.50% E -3.71% K -5.48% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.06%EV -9.47% E -4.51% K -8.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.44%EV -14.97% E -4.99% K -7.48% G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-05 17:25
888sport3.10I 32.26% NM 28.49%EV -11.50% E -3.71% K -5.48% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.06%EV -9.47% E -4.51% K -8.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.44%EV -14.97% E -4.99% K -7.48% G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-05 17:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26% NM 28.49%EV -11.50% E -3.71% K -5.48% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.06%EV -9.47% E -4.51% K -8.61% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.44%EV -14.97% E -4.99% K -7.48% G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-05 17:29
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33% NM 28.84%EV -14.35% E -4.78% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 43.26%EV -13.79% E -6.89% K -13.79% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.91%EV -12.13% E -3.91% K -5.78% G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-05 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerTijuana (Local)Tigres (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-05 15:50