L’École des cotes

Tijuana v Tigres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 03:10 UTC

Score final : Tijuana 3–1 Tigres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tijuana (Local)

Prévision 26.58%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.450%
Kelly -0.617%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.47%26.67%26.59%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.503.7032.26%28.75%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tigres (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.84%2.18cote équitable
EV +0.383%
Avantage +0.175%
Kelly +0.322%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.21%45.70%45.81%47.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.012.002.1954.05%49.70%50.00%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.59%3.63cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -0.904%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%27.63%27.60%29.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.91%29.85%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.56%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.80%EV +0.383%E +0.175%K +0.322%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.63%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 03:05
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.52%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 03:00
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.52%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 03:00
Pinnacle3.66I 27.32%NM 26.27%EV -2.73%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.78%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.95%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 03:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:54
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 03:05
betano_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 03:04
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 02:55
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 03:05
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 03:05
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 02:05
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 02:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 03:00
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 02:00
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 02:55
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 03:05
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 02:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -17.24%E -5.75%K -8.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-17 03:05
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.64%EV -6.95%E -3.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 03:00
GTbets3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -4.06%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.12%EV -4.00%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 02:34
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 03:00
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:55
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:55
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 06:19
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 01:10
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 02:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 02:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 02:55
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.73%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 02:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -17.61%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-17 02:54
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -17.24%E -5.75%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 02:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -17.24%E -5.75%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 02:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -17.24%E -5.75%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 02:50
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -9.70%E -4.92%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 02:55
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -9.70%E -4.92%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 02:45
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.70%E -4.92%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 03:05
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 02:55
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.02%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -11.17%E -3.47%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -11.99%E -6.25%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 02:55
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -11.99%E -6.25%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 02:55
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.45%E -6.52%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -13.10%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-17 03:05
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -12.91%E -6.79%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 02:55
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.50%EV -15.20%E -8.22%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-17 02:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-17 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%1.2%2026-07-17 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-07-17 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-07-17 03:05
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14%2.3%2026-07-17 03:05
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-07-17 03:05