La escuela de los momios

Tijuana v Tigres

Inicio: 2026-07-17 03:10 UTC

Final: Tijuana 3–1 Tigres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tijuana (Local)

Predicción 26.58%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.450%
Kelly -0.617%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.47%26.67%26.59%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.7032.26%28.75%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tigres (Visitante)

Predicción 45.84%2.18momio equitativo
EV +0.383%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.322%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.21%45.70%45.81%47.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.012.002.1954.05%49.70%50.00%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.59%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -0.904%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.76%27.63%27.60%29.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.5133.33%29.91%29.85%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.56%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.80%EV +0.383%E +0.175%K +0.322%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.63%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 03:05
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.52%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 03:00
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.52%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-17 03:00
Pinnacle3.66I 27.32%NM 26.27%EV -2.73%E -0.745%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.78%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.95%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 03:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:54
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 03:05
betano_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 03:04
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 02:55
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 03:05
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 03:05
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 02:05
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 02:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 03:00
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 02:00
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 02:55
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 03:05
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 02:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -17.24%E -5.75%K -8.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-17 03:05
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.64%EV -6.95%E -3.42%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 03:00
GTbets3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -4.06%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.12%EV -4.00%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 02:34
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 03:00
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:55
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:55
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 06:19
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 01:10
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 02:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 02:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 02:55
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.73%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 02:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -17.61%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-17 02:54
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -17.24%E -5.75%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 02:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -17.24%E -5.75%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 02:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -17.24%E -5.75%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-17 02:50
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.38%EV -9.70%E -4.92%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 02:55
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -9.70%E -4.92%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 02:45
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.70%E -4.92%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 03:05
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.50%EV -10.16%E -5.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 02:55
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 02:55
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.02%EV -11.08%E -5.71%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -11.17%E -3.47%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-17 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -11.99%E -6.25%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 02:55
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -11.99%E -6.25%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 02:55
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.45%E -6.52%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -13.10%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-17 03:05
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -12.91%E -6.79%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 02:55
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.50%EV -15.20%E -8.22%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-17 02:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-17 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%1.2%2026-07-17 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-07-17 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-07-17 03:05
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14%2.3%2026-07-17 03:05
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-07-17 03:05