Language:English
Tigres v Monterrey
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tigres (Local)
Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.39%50.32%50.51%51.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.831.9458.14%54.69%54.64%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Monterrey (Visit)
Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.335%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%23.60%23.40%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.904.2827.78%25.79%25.64%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.08%26.09%27.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.553.7032.26%28.46%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 50.36%; Monterrey (Visit): 23.62%; Draw: 26.02%. For Monterrey (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.56%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.335%G +0.004% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.83%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -0.791%E -0.188%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.83%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -0.791%E -0.188%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.39%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.48%EV -7.37%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.44%EV -2.30%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.92%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.65%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -7.89%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 02:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.86%E -5.51%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -16.74%E -5.23%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.33%EV -11.87%E -6.78%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.13%EV -13.78%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.99%EV -13.38%E -7.78%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%EV -13.78%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -11.37%E -6.46%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.88%E -7.44%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -19.34%E -6.24%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-08 02:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36% | 2.4% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.95% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.35% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |