La escuela de los momios

Tigres v Monterrey

Inicio: 2026-03-08 03:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tigres (Local)

Predicción 50.36%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.39%50.32%50.51%51.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.831.831.9458.14%54.69%54.64%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Monterrey (Visitante)

Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.257%
Kelly +0.335%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.48%23.60%23.40%24.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.883.904.2827.78%25.79%25.64%23.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.02%3.84momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%26.08%26.09%27.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.553.7032.26%28.46%28.17%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.56%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.335%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 02:59
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.83%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -0.791%E -0.188%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 03:00
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.83%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -0.791%E -0.188%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 03:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 03:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:59
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 02:59
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.39%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.48%EV -7.37%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:59
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.44%EV -2.30%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.92%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:00
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:59
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 03:00
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.65%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -7.89%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 02:59
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:59
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:00
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 02:59
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 02:59
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 02:48
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 02:59
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 02:59
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 03:00
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 02:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 02:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 02:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 02:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 02:59
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 02:59
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.86%E -5.51%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 03:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 02:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -16.74%E -5.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 03:00
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 50.33%EV -11.87%E -6.78%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.13%EV -13.78%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 49.99%EV -13.38%E -7.78%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%EV -13.78%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-08 02:58
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 02:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 03:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 02:59
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 03:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -11.37%E -6.46%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 02:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.88%E -7.44%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -19.34%E -6.24%K -9.21%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-08 02:56
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 03:00
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-08 03:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-03-08 03:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 49.95%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.35%5.9%2026-03-08 03:00