L’École des cotes

Tigres v Monterrey

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 03:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tigres (Local)

Prévision 50.36%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.39%50.32%50.51%51.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.831.831.9458.14%54.69%54.64%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Monterrey (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.62%4.23cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.257%
Kelly +0.335%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.48%23.60%23.40%24.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.883.904.2827.78%25.79%25.64%23.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.02%3.84cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%26.08%26.09%27.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.553.7032.26%28.46%28.17%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.56%EV +1.10%E +0.257%K +0.335%G +0.004%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.09%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 02:59
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.83%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -0.791%E -0.188%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 03:00
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.83%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV -0.791%E -0.188%K -0.247%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 03:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 03:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 02:59
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 02:59
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.14%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.39%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.48%EV -7.37%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:59
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.44%EV -2.30%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.92%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:00
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:59
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 03:00
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.65%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -7.89%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 02:59
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.82%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 03:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:59
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 03:00
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:59
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 02:59
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 02:59
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 02:48
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 02:59
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 02:59
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 03:00
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 02:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 02:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 02:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 02:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 02:59
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 02:59
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -9.86%E -5.51%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 03:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 02:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -16.74%E -5.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 03:00
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 50.33%EV -11.87%E -6.78%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.13%EV -13.78%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 49.99%EV -13.38%E -7.78%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%EV -13.78%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -15.44%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-08 02:58
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 02:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 03:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 02:59
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 03:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -11.37%E -6.46%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 02:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.88%E -7.44%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -19.34%E -6.24%K -9.21%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-08 02:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 03:00
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-08 03:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-03-08 03:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 49.95%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.35%5.9%2026-03-08 03:00