Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tigres v Mazatlán FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tigres (Local)

Prediction 79.04%1.27fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -4.30%
Kelly -25.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.32%78.88%79.04%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.161.171.2090.91%86.05%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mazatlán FC (Visit)

Prediction 7.59%13.18fair odd
EV +13.81%
Edge +0.921%
Kelly +0.987%
Growth +0.136%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.36%7.58%7.70%9.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5012.3612.0015.0010.53%8.09%8.33%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.38%7.48fair odd
EV +0.319%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.049%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%13.55%13.26%16.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.706.757.5018.18%14.93%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 79.04%; Mazatlán FC (Visit): 7.59%; Draw: 13.38%. For Mazatlán FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.18. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +13.81%E +0.921%K +0.987%G +0.136%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 19:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +13.81%E +0.921%K +0.987%G +0.136%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 19:24
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +10.02%E +0.691%K +0.742%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -14.39%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 01:14
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +10.02%E +0.691%K +0.742%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -14.39%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 01:15
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.78%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 01:20
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:05
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.37%EV -9.90%E -8.68%K -70.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.26%EV -11.48%E -10.25%K -95.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.42%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 03:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 03:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:09
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:24
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -13.06%E -11.87%K -130.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-15 23:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -13.06%E -11.87%K -130.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-15 23:04
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.78I 7.82%NM 7.37%EV -3.03%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -1.69%E -0.230%K -0.266%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 02:24
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.74%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%12.32I 8.12%NM 7.61%EV -6.52%E -0.529%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.66%EV -8.24%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 03:44
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 05:24
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:08
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:29
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:19
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -9.90%E -8.68%K -70.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -26.43%E -4.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 78.55%EV -13.06%E -11.87%K -130.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.51%EV -12.74%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.94%EV -17.07%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -3.02%E -0.417%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 01:25
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 07:20
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:54
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 01:15
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 01:19
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:15
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:15
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.61%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.11%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -16.40%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.46%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.59%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 08:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 77.80%EV -11.48%E -10.25%K -95.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -18.41%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.51%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.62%EV -18.44%E -1.71%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.87%EV -3.69%E -0.513%K -0.596%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:04
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.21%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -20.33%E -1.94%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -3.69%E -0.513%K -0.596%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.13%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.56%EV -20.33%E -1.94%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 08:10
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -9.90%E -8.68%K -70.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -16.40%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 01:25
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 01:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 08:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 81.22%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.49%2.6%2026-04-24 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%2.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%2.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%2.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.63%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.97%4.2%2026-04-23 18:20
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 79.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.30%5.3%2026-04-24 03:20